Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals — OVER 8.91
PENDING
LeanOVER 8.91
Odds-105
Confidence0.769
VenueCitizens Bank Park
Game InfoStart: 6:05 PM ET
Pitching MatchupCristopher Sánchez vs Miles Mikolas
Run-total lens: OVER 8.91 in Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Cristopher Sánchez vs Miles Mikolas
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.68 to 8.91 (+0.23).
Run Total 2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres — OVER 9.0
PENDING
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-107
Confidence0.703
VenueChase Field
Game InfoStart: 9:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupKohl Drake vs Walker Buehler
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, run context favors over, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Kohl Drake vs Walker Buehler
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 9.0.
Run Total 3
Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels — UNDER 9.64
PENDING
LeanUNDER 9.64
Odds-109
Confidence0.532
VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
Game InfoStart: 12:35 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBrandon Young vs Ryan Johnson
Run-total lens: UNDER 9.64 in Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.68 to 9.64 (-0.04).
Run Total 4
Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins — OVER 8.86
PENDING
LeanOVER 8.86
Odds-110
Confidence0.471
VenueKauffman Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupMichael Wacha vs Bailey Ober
Run-total lens: OVER 8.86 in Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Michael Wacha vs Bailey Ober
Weather: 85.3°F, Wind 3.9 mph N (in from RF), Humidity 68%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.82 to 8.86 (+0.04).
Run Total 5
Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox — OVER 9.0
PENDING
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-107
Confidence0.416
VenueFenway Park
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupRanger Suarez vs Luis Castillo
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, savant contact quality leans under.
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, run context favors over, savant contact quality leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Martín Pérez vs Janson Junk
Weather: 88.4°F, Wind 4.2 mph SSW (in from LF), Humidity 44%, P.O.P. 14% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 9.0.
Run Total 7
Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets — OVER 7.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-111
Confidence0.375
VenueProgressive Field
Game InfoStart: 1:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupFoster Griffin vs Nolan McLean
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Foster Griffin vs Nolan McLean
Weather: 84.3°F, Wind 8.8 mph WNW (in from RF), Humidity 55%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 8
Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays — OVER 7.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-108
Confidence0.358
VenueWrigley Field
Game InfoStart: 2:20 PM ET
Pitching MatchupDavid Peterson vs Dylan Cease
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: David Peterson vs Dylan Cease
Weather: 73.6°F, Wind 6.2 mph ENE (in from LF), Humidity 87%, P.O.P. 7% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 9
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — OVER 7.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-114
Confidence0.167
VenueAmerican Family Field
Game InfoStart: 2:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupDustin May vs Braxton Ashcraft
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans over, savant contact quality leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Dustin May vs Braxton Ashcraft
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 10
Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds — OVER 9.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 9.5
Odds-105
Confidence0.05
VenueGreat American Ball Park
Game InfoStart: 12:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupMason Barnett vs Andrew Abbott
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, team/park run history leans under, savant contact quality leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Mason Barnett vs Andrew Abbott
Weather: 82.2°F, Wind 1.9 mph SE (in from CF), Humidity 73%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 9.5.
Run Total 11
Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers — UNDER 7.55
PENDING
LeanUNDER 7.55
Odds-105
Confidence0.049
VenueT-Mobile Park
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBryce Miller vs Framber Valdez
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.55 in Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Bryce Miller vs Framber Valdez
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.