SportzBallz Totals Desk

Run Total Picks — 2026-04-05

Model: dutch • Updated 2026-04-13 12:04 AM
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Run Total 1

Detroit Tigers vs St. Louis Cardinals — OVER 8.0

PUSH
LeanOVER 8.0
Price-115
Confidence0.403
VenueComerica Park

Run-total lens: OVER 8.0 in Detroit Tigers vs St. Louis Cardinals. Supporting context includes wind blowing out, cool run environment, offensive indicator edge.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Cloudy, 44°F, 15 mph, Out To LF
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 8.
Run Total 2

San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox — OVER 9.5

WIN
LeanOVER 9.5
Price-100
Confidence0.256
VenueFenway Park

Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox. Supporting context includes cool run environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Overcast, 47°F, 2 mph, Out To RF
  • Total Movement: Total moved up from 9 to 9.5 (+0.5).
Run Total 3

Houston Astros vs Athletics — OVER 10.0

WIN
LeanOVER 10.0
Price-110
Confidence0.231
VenueSutter Health Park

Run-total lens: OVER 10.0 in Houston Astros vs Athletics. Supporting context includes warm run environment.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 78°F, 4 mph, Out To RF
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 10.
Run Total 4

Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — OVER 9.0

WIN
LeanOVER 9.0
Price-100
Confidence0.22
VenueNationals Park

Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Supporting context includes offensive indicator edge.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Overcast, 60°F, 4 mph, In From LF
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 9.
Run Total 5

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks — OVER 9.0

WIN
LeanOVER 9.0
Price-115
Confidence0.182
VenueChase Field

Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Supporting context includes roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 9.
Run Total 6

Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins — UNDER 8.0

WIN
LeanUNDER 8.0
Price-115
Confidence0.182
VenueTarget Field

Run-total lens: UNDER 8.0 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins. Supporting context includes cool run environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 50°F, 13 mph, R To L
  • Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.5 to 8 (-0.5).
Run Total 7

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees — UNDER 8.5

LOSS
LeanUNDER 8.5
Price-105
Confidence0.175
VenueYankee Stadium

Run-total lens: UNDER 8.5 in Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees. Supporting context includes rain suppression risk, offensive indicator edge.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Rain, 55°F, 6 mph, L To R
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 8.5.
Run Total 8

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels — OVER 9.0

WIN
LeanOVER 9.0
Price-120
Confidence0.169
VenueAngel Stadium

Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels. Supporting context includes warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Sunny, 83°F, 2 mph, Calm
  • Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.5 to 9 (-0.5).
Run Total 9

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox — OVER 8.0

LOSS
LeanOVER 8.0
Price-105
Confidence0.167
VenueRate Field

Run-total lens: OVER 8.0 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox. Supporting context includes cool run environment, offensive indicator edge.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 50°F, 4 mph, Out To LF
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 8.
Run Total 10

New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants — UNDER 7.0

PUSH
LeanUNDER 7.0
Price100
Confidence0.162
VenueOracle Park

Run-total lens: UNDER 7.0 in New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants. Supporting context includes offensive indicator edge, market moved total down.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Sunny, 74°F, 11 mph, Varies
  • Total Movement: Total moved down from 7.5 to 7 (-0.5).
Run Total 11

Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies — OVER 11.0

LOSS
LeanOVER 11.0
Price-120
Confidence0.15
VenueCoors Field

Run-total lens: OVER 11.0 in Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies. Supporting context includes offensive indicator edge.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Sunny, 60°F, 9 mph, In From CF
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 11.
Run Total 12

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles — OVER 8.5

WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Price-100
Confidence0.126
VenuePNC Park

Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles. Supporting context includes wind blowing out, cool run environment, run-prevention indicator edge.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, 45°F, 16 mph, Out To LF
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 8.5.
Run Total 13

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs — OVER 7.5

WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Price100
Confidence0.081
VenueProgressive Field

Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs. Supporting context includes cool run environment, offensive indicator edge.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Cloudy, 44°F, 15 mph, L To R
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 14

Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians — OVER 7.5

WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Price100
Confidence0.064
VenueProgressive Field

Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians. Supporting context includes cool run environment, offensive indicator edge.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Cloudy, 44°F, 15 mph, L To R
  • Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 15

Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers — OVER 7.5

WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Price-110
Confidence0.064
VenueKauffman Stadium

Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers. Supporting context includes offensive indicator edge, market moved total down.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Sunny, 56°F, 10 mph, L To R
  • Total Movement: Total moved down from 8 to 7.5 (-0.5).
Run Total 16

Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers — OVER 7.5

LOSS
LeanOVER 7.5
Price-100
Confidence0.045
VenueGlobe Life Field

Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers. Supporting context includes roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down.

Expanded total context
  • Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
  • Total Movement: Total moved down from 8 to 7.5 (-0.5).