St. Louis Cardinals vs Minnesota Twins — OVER 9.45
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.45
Odds-103
Confidence1.096
VenueTarget Field
Game InfoStart: 2:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupMichael McGreevy vs Taj Bradley
Run-total lens: OVER 9.45 in St. Louis Cardinals vs Minnesota Twins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals — OVER 10.45
WIN
LeanOVER 10.45
Odds-105
Confidence1.007
VenueNationals Park
Game InfoStart: 1:35 PM ET
Pitching MatchupEmerson Hancock vs PJ Poulin
Run-total lens: OVER 10.45 in Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Emerson Hancock vs PJ Poulin
Weather: 89.6°F, Wind 10.1 mph S (out to LF), Humidity 53%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 3
Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres — OVER 10.32
LOSS
LeanOVER 10.32
Odds-110
Confidence0.764
VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
Game InfoStart: 1:35 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTrevor Rogers vs Walker Buehler
Run-total lens: OVER 10.32 in Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Trevor Rogers vs Walker Buehler
Weather: 89.9°F, Wind 10.6 mph S (out to LF), Humidity 46%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 4
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-114
Confidence0.679
VenueCiti Field
Game InfoStart: 1:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBryce Elder vs Freddy Peralta
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Bryce Elder vs Freddy Peralta
Weather: 88.2°F, Wind 9.4 mph S (out to CF), Humidity 40%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 5
Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers — OVER 9.23
WIN
LeanOVER 9.23
Odds-112
Confidence0.671
VenueFenway Park
Game InfoStart: 7:20 PM ET
Pitching MatchupConnelly Early vs Nathan Eovaldi
Run-total lens: OVER 9.23 in Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Connelly Early vs Nathan Eovaldi
Weather: 81.1°F, Wind 13.4 mph S (out to LF), Humidity 44%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 6
Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks — OVER 9.91
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.91
Odds-109
Confidence0.656
VenueGreat American Ball Park
Game InfoStart: 1:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupAndrew Abbott vs Zac Gallen
Run-total lens: OVER 9.91 in Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Pitching MatchupSpencer Arrighetti vs Stephen Kolek
Run-total lens: OVER 8.55 in Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Spencer Arrighetti vs Stephen Kolek
Weather: 74.3°F, Wind 12.8 mph NNW (in from RF), Humidity 49%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins — OVER 7.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.0
Odds-119
Confidence0.352
VenuePNC Park
Game InfoStart: 12:15 PM ET
Pitching MatchupPaul Skenes vs Max Meyer
Run-total lens: OVER 7.0 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Paul Skenes vs Max Meyer
Weather: 77.3°F, Wind 7.4 mph SSW (in from LF), Humidity 75%, P.O.P. 12% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago White Sox — OVER 9.5
WIN
LeanOVER 9.5
Odds-106
Confidence0.338
VenueRate Field
Game InfoStart: 2:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupEmmet Sheehan vs Bryan Hudson
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago White Sox. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 8.41 in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Will Warren vs Patrick Corbin
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 11
Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels — OVER 9.0
WIN
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-111
Confidence0.203
VenueAngel Stadium
Game InfoStart: 4:07 PM ET
Pitching MatchupCasey Legumina vs Grayson Rodriguez
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Casey Legumina vs Grayson Rodriguez
Run-total lens: OVER 8.23 in San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Logan Webb vs Ryan Rolison
Weather: 66.8°F, Wind 9.3 mph W (out to CF), Humidity 83%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 13
Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies — UNDER 6.5
WIN
LeanUNDER 6.5
Odds-101
Confidence0.07
VenueAmerican Family Field
Game InfoStart: 2:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupKyle Harrison vs Cristopher Sánchez
Run-total lens: UNDER 6.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Kyle Harrison vs Cristopher Sánchez
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 14
Colorado Rockies vs Athletics — OVER 13.82
WIN
LeanOVER 13.82
Odds-110
Confidence0.048
VenueLas Vegas Ballpark
Game InfoStart: 3:05 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTomoyuki Sugano vs Jeffrey Springs
Run-total lens: OVER 13.82 in Colorado Rockies vs Athletics. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Tomoyuki Sugano vs Jeffrey Springs