Run Total Picks — 2026-05-25

The total read remains OVER 8.36; the likely run environment still supports that position.

Minnesota Twins gives this over legitimate runway, with enough lineup depth to string together traffic across multiple innings. The listed starters are Zebby Matthews for Minnesota Twins and Anthony Kay for Chicago White Sox, which frames the early run environment.

Chicago White Sox can still help clear this over even if the first two innings are quiet, especially against middle relief pockets.

The total read remains OVER 8.0; the likely run environment still supports that position.

For Arizona Diamondbacks, the over path is built on accumulation—walks, gap power, and pressure that repeats instead of spikes once.

San Francisco Giants can still help clear this over even if the first two innings are quiet, especially against middle relief pockets.

The total read remains OVER 7.5; the likely run environment still supports that position.

The road offense from New York Mets can do its part for an over by extending at-bats and forcing earlier bullpen exposure.

Cincinnati Reds can still help clear this over even if the first two innings are quiet, especially against middle relief pockets.

The most reliable total stance here is still OVER 9.5, with realistic scripts clustering around that outcome.

The road offense from Seattle Mariners can do its part for an over by extending at-bats and forcing earlier bullpen exposure.

Athletics can still help clear this over even if the first two innings are quiet, especially against middle relief pockets.

I’m keeping this on OVER 7.45, because the projected scoring rhythm still lands on that side of the number.

The road offense from Toronto Blue Jays can do its part for an over by extending at-bats and forcing earlier bullpen exposure.

At home, Miami Marlins can create late scoring swings, and that is exactly what this total angle needs.

The most reliable total stance here is still OVER 8.09, with realistic scripts clustering around that outcome.

Chicago Cubs gives this over legitimate runway, with enough lineup depth to string together traffic across multiple innings. The listed starters are Ben Brown for Chicago Cubs and Carmen Mlodzinski for Pittsburgh Pirates, which frames the early run environment.

On the home side, Pittsburgh Pirates has the counterpunch profile to keep run production alive into the later frames. Recent roster movement for Chicago Cubs includes Matt Shaw (status change), a subtle but relevant depth signal.

The total read remains UNDER 8.64; the likely run environment still supports that position.

New York Yankees can remain competitive in a lower-event profile, which is precisely the shape this under needs.

This under position also leans on Kansas City Royals containing damage once bullpen matchup innings take over.

I’m keeping this on UNDER 8.25, because the projected scoring rhythm still lands on that side of the number.

For Texas Rangers, the under script stays intact if they avoid chase-heavy at-bats and keep the game in controlled counts. Recent roster movement for Texas Rangers includes Luis Curvelo (status change), a subtle but relevant depth signal.

This under position also leans on Houston Astros containing damage once bullpen matchup innings take over.

I’m keeping this on OVER 7.92, because the projected scoring rhythm still lands on that side of the number.

For Philadelphia Phillies, the over path is built on accumulation—walks, gap power, and pressure that repeats instead of spikes once.

At home, San Diego Padres can create late scoring swings, and that is exactly what this total angle needs.

The most reliable total stance here is still OVER 7.92, with realistic scripts clustering around that outcome.

For Cleveland Guardians, the over path is built on accumulation—walks, gap power, and pressure that repeats instead of spikes once.

At home, Washington Nationals can create late scoring swings, and that is exactly what this total angle needs.

The most reliable total stance here is still OVER 7.5, with realistic scripts clustering around that outcome.

For Milwaukee Brewers, the over path is built on accumulation—walks, gap power, and pressure that repeats instead of spikes once.

St. Louis Cardinals can still help clear this over even if the first two innings are quiet, especially against middle relief pockets.

OVER 8.94 continues to be the better angle once lineup quality and expected pitching usage are layered together.

Los Angeles Dodgers gives this over legitimate runway, with enough lineup depth to string together traffic across multiple innings. Recent roster movement for Los Angeles Dodgers includes Enrique Hernández (status change), a subtle but relevant depth signal.

On the home side, Colorado Rockies has the counterpunch profile to keep run production alive into the later frames. Colorado Rockies has recent roster movement too, including Blaine Crim (designated for assignment), which can influence late-game options.

The most reliable total stance here is still OVER 7.55, with realistic scripts clustering around that outcome.

Tampa Bay Rays gives this over legitimate runway, with enough lineup depth to string together traffic across multiple innings. The listed starters are Shane McClanahan for Tampa Bay Rays and Kyle Bradish for Baltimore Orioles, which frames the early run environment.

On the home side, Baltimore Orioles has the counterpunch profile to keep run production alive into the later frames. Recent roster movement for Tampa Bay Rays includes Steven Matz (status change), a subtle but relevant depth signal.