Underdog 1
St. Louis Cardinals over Athletics
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals vs Athletics prediction — 2026-05-14 • First pitch: 3:05 PM ET
St. Louis at +103 is still a live underdog position, and the plus price is the point. This projects closer to a coin flip than the market implies, which keeps the Cardinals attractive as the value side.
The Athletics can score in bunches and can force action quickly when their top half gets lift to the pull side. But they can also leak extra baserunners in the wrong innings, and those free opportunities are exactly what underdogs need to flip road games.
St. Louis has enough offensive depth and late-inning stability to capitalize on that kind of game state. Keep the original plus-money call on the Cardinals.
Expanded game context
- Weather: 78.9°F, Wind 6.6 mph NNW (in from RF), Humidity 39%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
- Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Felix Neon; First Base: Bill Miller; Second Base: Chad Fairchild; Third Base: Chad Whitson
- St. Louis Cardinals Injuries: Alec Burleson (Active), Andre Pallante (Active), César Prieto (Active), Dustin May (Active), George Soriano (Active), Gordon Graceffo (Active), Iván Herrera (Active), JJ Wetherholt (Active)
- Athletics Injuries: Aaron Civale (Active), Brent Rooker (Active), Carlos Cortes (Active), Colby Thomas (Active), Darell Hernaiz (Active), Henry Bolte (Active), Hogan Harris (Active), J.T. Ginn (Active)
- Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
- Lineup Change Impact: St. Louis Cardinals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. Athletics: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Athletics went 3-0.
- Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Underdog 2
Philadelphia Phillies over Boston Red Sox
In Progress
Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox prediction — 2026-05-14 • First pitch: 6:45 PM ET
Philadelphia at +102 is still a valid underdog side because the price gives room in a matchup that looks tighter than a typical Fenway number. The Phillies do not need dominance here—just enough inning control to keep pressure on Boston late.
The Red Sox are dangerous at home and can create quick scoring pockets when contact quality spikes to the gaps. The vulnerability comes when those rallies stall; Boston can become hit-cluster dependent if early baserunners are erased.
Philadelphia has the better underdog profile in this spot: enough bat speed to answer quickly and enough run prevention to survive high-traffic innings. Keep the original pick on the Phillies.
Expanded game context
- Weather: 52.2°F, Wind 1.0 mph ENE (in from CF), Humidity 98%, P.O.P. 86% (Open-Meteo fallback)
- Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Mark Ripperger; First Base: Shane Livensparger; Second Base: Dan Merzel; Third Base: Dan Bellino
- Philadelphia Phillies Injuries: Aaron Nola (Active), Adolis García (Active), Alec Bohm (Active), Andrew Painter (Active), Brad Keller (Active), Brandon Marsh (Active), Bryce Harper (Active), Bryson Stott (Active)
- Boston Red Sox Injuries: Andruw Monasterio (Active), Aroldis Chapman (Active), Brayan Bello (Active), Caleb Durbin (Active), Carlos Narváez (Active), Ceddanne Rafaela (Active), Connelly Early (Active), Connor Wong (Active)
- Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
- Lineup Change Impact: Philadelphia Phillies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. Boston Red Sox: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average.
- Line Movement: Moneyline moved from -113 to -101 (+12), away from the pick side.