SportzBallz Plus Money Desk

Plus Money Picks — 2026-05-13

Model: dutch • Updated 2026-05-13 11:57 PM

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Plus Money Picks2

Decided2

Record2-0

Win Rate100.0%

Underdog 1

Houston Astros over Seattle Mariners

WIN

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners prediction — 2026-05-13 • First pitch: 8:10 PM ET

Odds+118

Confidence0.144 (data points: 8.344/14.585999999999999)

PitchingLance McCullers Jr. vs Bryce Miller

VenueDaikin Park

The pick stays Houston Astros over Seattle Mariners, because this matchup still leans toward the side with the steadier full-game run prevention profile.

Houston Astros profiles well away from home because its lineup can string together competitive plate appearances instead of waiting for one swing.

Seattle Mariners has enough talent to challenge this, but it likely needs cleaner bullpen bridge innings to flip the expected script.

Expanded game context

Weather: 83.9°F, Wind 1.1 mph E (out to LF), Humidity 48%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Roberto Ortiz; First Base: Alex MacKay; Second Base: Willie Traynor; Third Base: Jim Wolf
Houston Astros Injuries: AJ Blubaugh (Active), Braden Shewmake (Active), Brice Matthews (Active), Bryan Abreu (Active), Bryan King (Active), Cam Smith (Active), César Salazar (Active), Christian Vázquez (Active)
Seattle Mariners Injuries: Alex Hoppe (Active), Andrés Muñoz (Active), Brendan Donovan (Active), Bryan Woo (Active), Bryce Miller (Active), Cal Raleigh (Active), Cole Young (Active), Connor Joe (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Houston Astros: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Houston Astros went 1-1; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Houston Astros went 0-2. Seattle Mariners: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.4/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Seattle Mariners went 2-0.
Line Movement: Moneyline moved from 106 to 110 (+4), away from the pick side.

Underdog 2

Washington Nationals over Cincinnati Reds

WIN

Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds prediction — 2026-05-13 • First pitch: 6:40 PM ET

Odds+150

Confidence0.067 (data points: 15.417/28.889)

PitchingJake Irvin vs Nick Lodolo

VenueGreat American Ball Park

I’m sticking with Washington Nationals over Cincinnati Reds; the cleaner path to control this game still sits with that ticket.

On the visitor side, Washington Nationals has the cleaner path to creating traffic, which matters in games where scoring windows are narrow. The likely starting matchup of Jake Irvin versus Nick Lodolo is a key driver of early game shape.

The path for Cincinnati Reds is live, though it depends on winning the highest-pressure at-bats late rather than trading offense early.

Expanded game context

Weather: 65.8°F, Wind 13.6 mph NW (out to CF), Humidity 48%, P.O.P. 7% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Dexter Kelley; First Base: Doug Eddings; Second Base: Emil Jimenez; Third Base: Mike Muchlinski
Washington Nationals Injuries: Brad Lord (Active), Brady House (Active), CJ Abrams (Active), Cade Cavalli (Active), Curtis Mead (Active), Daylen Lile (Active), Drew Millas (Active), Foster Griffin (Active)
Cincinnati Reds Injuries: Andrew Abbott (Active), Blake Dunn (Active), Brady Singer (Active), Brock Burke (Active), Chase Burns (Active), Chris Paddack (Active), Connor Phillips (Active), Dane Myers (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Washington Nationals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Washington Nationals went 2-0. Cincinnati Reds: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.8/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Cincinnati Reds went 0-3.
Line Movement: Moneyline moved from 138 to 136 (-2), toward the pick side.