Run Total Picks — 2026-04-26

The strongest total angle is still OVER 9.5 in Houston Astros vs New York Yankees. Price: -111.

Houston Astros does not need to do all the scoring, but it needs two legitimate scoring windows before late innings.

The over remains live if New York Yankees cashes two of its best run-scoring spots rather than leaving them stranded. Weather context: 80.7°F, Wind 9.8 mph ESE, Humidity 86%, P.O.P. 2%. The over angle remains the same.

No change here: it remains OVER 8.5 in Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals. Price: -113.

Seattle Mariners does not need to do all the scoring, but it needs two legitimate scoring windows before late innings.

The over remains live if St. Louis Cardinals cashes two of its best run-scoring spots rather than leaving them stranded. Weather context: 77.6°F, Wind 9.5 mph SE, Humidity 51%, P.O.P. 0%. The over angle remains the same.

The strongest total angle is still OVER 8.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals. Price: -114.

For Los Angeles Angels, sequencing is everything: baserunners first, then one damaging ball in play.

Kansas City Royals has enough lineup depth to tack on late, which keeps the over thesis intact. Weather context: 74.6°F, Wind 10.3 mph SE, Humidity 63%, P.O.P. 17%. The over angle remains the same.

I still grade this game as OVER 8.32 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians. Price: -109.

Toronto Blue Jays does not need to do all the scoring, but it needs two legitimate scoring windows before late innings.

The over remains live if Cleveland Guardians cashes two of its best run-scoring spots rather than leaving them stranded. Weather context: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.. The over angle remains the same.

I still grade this game as OVER 9.0 in Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds. Price: -110.

For Detroit Tigers, sequencing is everything: baserunners first, then one damaging ball in play.

Cincinnati Reds has enough lineup depth to tack on late, which keeps the over thesis intact. Weather context: 58.3°F, Wind 7.4 mph ENE, Humidity 68%, P.O.P. 0%. The over angle remains the same.

I still grade this game as OVER 7.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates. Price: -106.

Milwaukee Brewers can carry its share of this number by forcing early pitch stress and avoiding quick outs in the first two turns.

The host contribution comes from Pittsburgh Pirates turning lineup depth into late add-on runs if the game is near the number by the sixth. Weather context: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.. The over angle remains the same.

The strongest total angle is still UNDER 15.0 in San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Price: -115.

From the road perspective, San Diego Padres keeps the under healthy by creating pressure without sustained avalanche scoring.

For Arizona Diamondbacks, run prevention discipline is the key: limit second-chance baserunners and force contact over damage. Weather context: 89.5°F, Wind 3.4 mph, Humidity 29%, P.O.P. 0%. The under angle remains the same.

I still grade this game as UNDER 6.88 in Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets. Price: -106.

For Colorado Rockies, the under survives when traffic stays scattered and does not become back-to-back crooked innings.

At home, New York Mets keeps this game under by protecting leverage outs and avoiding free passes in front of power bats. Weather context: 52.3°F, Wind 9.9 mph NE, Humidity 65%, P.O.P. 0%. The under angle remains the same.

The full-game total call holds at OVER 7.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins. Price: -106.

For San Francisco Giants, the over path is sustained pressure in multiple innings rather than one all-or-nothing swing sequence.

At home, Miami Marlins can push this total over by creating a second scoring wave once the game shifts to middle relief. Weather context: 61.1°F, Wind 9.6 mph W, Humidity 56%, P.O.P. 0%. The over angle remains the same.

No change here: it remains UNDER 7.41 in New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies. Price: -119.

For New York Mets, this ticket is helped when high-leverage at-bats produce one run instead of two-plus.

Colorado Rockies does not need to chase offense here; it needs organized pitching through the final third of the game. Weather context: 52.3°F, Wind 9.9 mph NE, Humidity 65%, P.O.P. 0%. The under angle remains the same.

The strongest total angle is still OVER 8.0 in Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies. Price: -112.

Atlanta Braves can carry its share of this number by forcing early pitch stress and avoiding quick outs in the first two turns.

The host contribution comes from Philadelphia Phillies turning lineup depth into late add-on runs if the game is near the number by the sixth. Weather context: 75.4°F, Wind 5.1 mph WSW, Humidity 66%, P.O.P. 0%. The over angle remains the same.

The full-game total call holds at UNDER 8.5 in Texas Rangers vs Athletics. Price: -107.

For Texas Rangers, the under survives when traffic stays scattered and does not become back-to-back crooked innings.

At home, Athletics keeps this game under by protecting leverage outs and avoiding free passes in front of power bats. Weather context: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.. The under angle remains the same.

No change here: it remains OVER 8.68 in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs. Price: -109.

The visitor offense keeps this over live when Los Angeles Dodgers converts traffic into extra ninety feet instead of strand-heavy innings.

For Chicago Cubs, one leverage swing after the starter exits can be the difference between a near miss and a clear over. Weather context: 65.7°F, Wind 15.0 mph WSW, Humidity 46%, P.O.P. 0%. The over angle remains the same.

I still grade this game as OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals. Price: -105.

For Chicago White Sox, the over path is sustained pressure in multiple innings rather than one all-or-nothing swing sequence.

At home, Washington Nationals can push this total over by creating a second scoring wave once the game shifts to middle relief. Weather context: 52.9°F, Wind 10.2 mph ENE, Humidity 91%, P.O.P. 0%. The over angle remains the same.

The strongest total angle is still OVER 7.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles. Price: -109.

The visitor offense keeps this over live when Boston Red Sox converts traffic into extra ninety feet instead of strand-heavy innings.

For Baltimore Orioles, one leverage swing after the starter exits can be the difference between a near miss and a clear over. Weather context: 50.9°F, Wind 8.1 mph N, Humidity 78%, P.O.P. 0%. The over angle remains the same.

The strongest total angle is still UNDER 8.5 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins. Price: -103.

Tampa Bay Rays can threaten without cracking this number if key chances end in strand-outs instead of extra-base damage.

Minnesota Twins can win this script while staying under if bullpen command remains clean and innings do not snowball. Weather context: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.. The under angle remains the same.