New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 1:40 PM ET
Odds-221
Confidence0.550 (data points: 18.587/23.983)
PitchingNolan McLean vs Jose Quintana
VenueCiti Field
The side I trust most is New York Mets over Colorado Rockies at -221 because the better margin-for-error team is still the one on this side. Pitching matchup: Nolan McLean vs Jose Quintana.
The New York Mets order is at its best when it keeps runners moving, stresses the stretch game, and avoids empty trips through the order. Availability note for New York Mets: Austin Warren, Bo Bichette.
The Colorado Rockies offense has enough to answer, yet the deciding factor is whether its staff can avoid the one inning that unravels quickly. Availability note for Colorado Rockies: Antonio Senzatela, Blas Castaño. Weather context: 52.3°F, Wind 9.9 mph NE, Humidity 65%, P.O.P. 0%. That is enough to stay on the original ticket.
Expanded game context
Weather: 52.3°F, Wind 9.9 mph NE (in from CF), Humidity 65%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Ryan Blakney; First Base: Tyler Jones; Second Base: Marvin Hudson; Third Base: Nick Mahrley
New York Mets Injuries: Austin Warren (Active), Bo Bichette (Active), Brett Baty (Active), Brooks Raley (Active), Carl Edwards Jr. (Active), Carson Benge (Active), Clay Holmes (Active), Craig Kimbrel (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: New York Mets: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. Colorado Rockies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.6/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Colorado Rockies went 2-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 2
Seattle Mariners over St. Louis Cardinals
WIN
Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 2:15 PM ET
This card still favors Seattle Mariners over St. Louis Cardinals at -131 because the middle-inning profile remains more dependable here. Pitching matchup: Emerson Hancock vs Michael McGreevy.
The Seattle Mariners lineup does not need a slugfest to justify this side; it needs clean sequencing and competitive at-bats in run-scoring spots. Availability note for Seattle Mariners: Alex Hoppe, Andrés Muñoz.
The St. Louis Cardinals club has a viable home script if it limits extra-base damage and keeps late innings from turning chaotic. Availability note for St. Louis Cardinals: Alec Burleson, Andre Pallante. Weather context: 77.6°F, Wind 9.5 mph SE, Humidity 51%, P.O.P. 0%. So the recommendation stays exactly where it started.
Expanded game context
Weather: 77.6°F, Wind 9.5 mph SE (in from LF), Humidity 51%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: John Bacon; First Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Second Base: Edwin Moscoso; Third Base: Vic Carapazza
Seattle Mariners Injuries: Alex Hoppe (Active), Andrés Muñoz (Active), Bryan Woo (Active), Cal Raleigh (Active), Cole Wilcox (Active), Cole Young (Active), Connor Joe (Active), Cooper Criswell (Active)
St. Louis Cardinals Injuries: Alec Burleson (Active), Andre Pallante (Active), Dustin May (Active), George Soriano (Active), Gordon Graceffo (Active), Iván Herrera (Active), JJ Wetherholt (Active), JoJo Romero (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Seattle Mariners: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. St. Louis Cardinals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.4/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), St. Louis Cardinals went 1-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 3
Milwaukee Brewers over Pittsburgh Pirates
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 2:10 PM ET
Odds-120
Confidence0.477 (data points: 17.494/23.688)
PitchingKyle Harrison vs Carmen Mlodzinski
VenueAmerican Family Field
The ticket stays Milwaukee Brewers over Pittsburgh Pirates at -120 because the middle-inning profile remains more dependable here. Pitching matchup: Kyle Harrison vs Carmen Mlodzinski.
The Milwaukee Brewers lineup does not need a slugfest to justify this side; it needs clean sequencing and competitive at-bats in run-scoring spots. Availability note for Milwaukee Brewers: Aaron Ashby, Abner Uribe.
The Pittsburgh Pirates club has a viable home script if it limits extra-base damage and keeps late innings from turning chaotic. Availability note for Pittsburgh Pirates: Billy Cook, Brandon Lowe. Weather context: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.. That keeps the original pick intact.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Manny Gonzalez; First Base: Jacob Metz; Second Base: Tom Hanahan; Third Base: Scott Barry
Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries: Billy Cook (Active), Brandon Lowe (Active), Bryan Reynolds (Active), Bubba Chandler (Active), Cam Sanders (Active), Carmen Mlodzinski (Active), Dennis Santana (Active), Evan Sisk (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Milwaukee Brewers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Milwaukee Brewers went 1-2; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Milwaukee Brewers went 0-2. Pittsburgh Pirates: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Pittsburgh Pirates went 2-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 4
Houston Astros over New York Yankees
WIN
Houston Astros vs New York Yankees prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 2:10 PM ET
Odds+112
Confidence0.319 (data points: 15.702/23.803)
PitchingSpencer Arrighetti vs Luis Gil
VenueDaikin Park
The pregame stance is still Houston Astros over New York Yankees at +112 because contact management and bullpen handoff reliability still tilt this way. Pitching matchup: Spencer Arrighetti vs Luis Gil.
The road path for Houston Astros is winning count leverage and turning baserunners into incremental scoring instead of waiting on one big swing. Availability note for Houston Astros: AJ Blubaugh, Bennett Sousa.
The response lane for New York Yankees is tight but real — defend cleanly, control the middle innings, and keep the game one swing away. Availability note for New York Yankees: Aaron Judge, Amed Rosario. Weather context: 80.7°F, Wind 9.8 mph ESE, Humidity 86%, P.O.P. 2%. Bottom line: same side, same stance.
Expanded game context
Weather: 80.7°F, Wind 9.8 mph ESE (out to LF), Humidity 86%, P.O.P. 2% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Jeremie Rehak; First Base: James Jean; Second Base: Adam Beck; Third Base: Dan Iassogna
Houston Astros Injuries: AJ Blubaugh (Active), Bennett Sousa (Active), Braden Shewmake (Active), Brice Matthews (Active), Bryan Abreu (Active), Bryan King (Active), Cam Smith (Active), Carlos Correa (Active)
New York Yankees Injuries: Aaron Judge (Active), Amed Rosario (Active), Austin Wells (Active), Ben Rice (Active), Brent Headrick (Active), Cam Schlittler (Active), Camilo Doval (Active), Cody Bellinger (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Houston Astros: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Houston Astros went 1-3. New York Yankees: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 5
Toronto Blue Jays over Cleveland Guardians
WIN
Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 1:37 PM ET
Odds-128
Confidence0.288 (data points: 14.477/22.477)
PitchingPatrick Corbin vs Slade Cecconi
VenueRogers Centre
The number still points to Toronto Blue Jays over Cleveland Guardians at -128 because the better margin-for-error team is still the one on this side. Pitching matchup: Patrick Corbin vs Slade Cecconi.
The Toronto Blue Jays lineup does not need a slugfest to justify this side; it needs clean sequencing and competitive at-bats in run-scoring spots. Availability note for Toronto Blue Jays: Andrés Giménez, Brandon Valenzuela.
The Cleveland Guardians club has a viable home script if it limits extra-base damage and keeps late innings from turning chaotic. Availability note for Cleveland Guardians: Angel Martínez, Austin Hedges. Weather context: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.. Bottom line: same side, same stance.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Ramon De Jesus; First Base: Adrian Johnson; Second Base: Paul Clemons; Third Base: Quinn Wolcott
Toronto Blue Jays Injuries: Andrés Giménez (Active), Brandon Valenzuela (Active), Braydon Fisher (Active), Daulton Varsho (Active), Davis Schneider (Active), Dylan Cease (Active), Eloy Jiménez (Active), Eric Lauer (Active)
Cleveland Guardians Injuries: Angel Martínez (Active), Austin Hedges (Active), Bo Naylor (Active), Brayan Rocchio (Active), Cade Smith (Active), Chase DeLauter (Active), Colin Holderman (Active), Connor Brogdon (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Toronto Blue Jays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Toronto Blue Jays went 3-1. Cleveland Guardians: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Cleveland Guardians went 2-3.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 6
San Diego Padres over Arizona Diamondbacks
LOSS
San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 4:05 PM ET
Odds-134
Confidence0.274 (data points: 18.246/28.642)
PitchingMichael King vs Ryne Nelson
VenueEstadio Alfredo Harp Helu
The side I trust most is San Diego Padres over Arizona Diamondbacks at -134 because the better margin-for-error team is still the one on this side. Pitching matchup: Michael King vs Ryne Nelson.
The San Diego Padres order is at its best when it keeps runners moving, stresses the stretch game, and avoids empty trips through the order. Availability note for San Diego Padres: Adrian Morejon, Bradgley Rodriguez.
The Arizona Diamondbacks offense has enough to answer, yet the deciding factor is whether its staff can avoid the one inning that unravels quickly. Availability note for Arizona Diamondbacks: Adrian Del Castillo, Alek Thomas. Weather context: 89.5°F, Wind 3.4 mph, Humidity 29%, P.O.P. 0%. That is enough to stay on the original ticket.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Junior Valentine; First Base: Jordan Baker; Second Base: Rob Drake; Third Base: Roberto Ortiz
San Diego Padres Injuries: Adrian Morejon (Active), Bradgley Rodriguez (Active), Bryce Johnson (Active), David Morgan (Active), Fernando Tatis Jr. (Active), Freddy Fermin (Active), Gavin Sheets (Active), Germán Márquez (Active)
Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries: Adrian Del Castillo (Active), Alek Thomas (Active), Andrew Hoffmann (Active), Aramis Garcia (Active), Brandon Pfaadt (Active), Corbin Carroll (Active), Eduardo Rodriguez (Active), Geraldo Perdomo (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: San Diego Padres: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. Arizona Diamondbacks: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Arizona Diamondbacks went 1-2; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Arizona Diamondbacks went 0-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 7
Detroit Tigers over Cincinnati Reds
WIN
Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 1:40 PM ET
Odds-108
Confidence0.189 (data points: 13.512/22.72)
PitchingKeider Montero vs Rhett Lowder
VenueGreat American Ball Park
The side I trust most is Detroit Tigers over Cincinnati Reds at -108 because the cleaner run-prevention path sits with this side over a full nine. Pitching matchup: Keider Montero vs Rhett Lowder.
The Detroit Tigers offense can drive this game by creating early traffic and forcing deep counts before the starter settles. Availability note for Detroit Tigers: Brant Hurter, Brenan Hanifee.
The Cincinnati Reds side can still flip this game, but only with cleaner leverage pitching and fewer self-inflicted baserunners. Availability note for Cincinnati Reds: Andrew Abbott, Brady Singer. Weather context: 58.3°F, Wind 7.4 mph ENE, Humidity 68%, P.O.P. 0%. That is enough to stay on the original ticket.
Expanded game context
Weather: 58.3°F, Wind 7.4 mph ENE (in from RF), Humidity 68%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Brian O'Nora; First Base: Chris Segal; Second Base: Erich Bacchus; Third Base: Laz Diaz
Detroit Tigers Injuries: Brant Hurter (Active), Brenan Hanifee (Active), Burch Smith (Active), Casey Mize (Active), Colt Keith (Active), Dillon Dingler (Active), Drew Anderson (Active), Framber Valdez (Active)
Cincinnati Reds Injuries: Andrew Abbott (Active), Brady Singer (Active), Brandon Williamson (Active), Brock Burke (Active), Chase Burns (Active), Connor Phillips (Active), Dane Myers (Active), Elly De La Cruz (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Detroit Tigers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Detroit Tigers went 1-1. Cincinnati Reds: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Cincinnati Reds went 3-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 8
Atlanta Braves over Philadelphia Phillies
WIN
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 1:35 PM ET
Odds-217
Confidence0.160 (data points: 16.881/29.098)
PitchingChris Sale vs Aaron Nola
VenueTruist Park
The ticket stays Atlanta Braves over Philadelphia Phillies at -217 because this side is less exposed to a single bad inning derailing the full-game ticket. Pitching matchup: Chris Sale vs Aaron Nola.
The Atlanta Braves lineup does not need a slugfest to justify this side; it needs clean sequencing and competitive at-bats in run-scoring spots. Availability note for Atlanta Braves: Aaron Bummer, Austin Riley.
The Philadelphia Phillies club has a viable home script if it limits extra-base damage and keeps late innings from turning chaotic. Availability note for Philadelphia Phillies: Aaron Nola, Adolis García. Weather context: 75.4°F, Wind 5.1 mph WSW, Humidity 66%, P.O.P. 0%. That keeps the original pick intact.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Mike Muchlinski; First Base: Gabe Morales; Second Base: Dexter Kelley; Third Base: Emil Jimenez
Atlanta Braves Injuries: Aaron Bummer (Active), Austin Riley (Active), Bryce Elder (Active), Carlos Carrasco (Active), Chris Sale (Active), Dominic Smith (Active), Drake Baldwin (Active), Dylan Lee (Active)
Philadelphia Phillies Injuries: Aaron Nola (Active), Adolis García (Active), Alec Bohm (Active), Andrew Painter (Active), Brad Keller (Active), Brandon Marsh (Active), Bryce Harper (Active), Bryson Stott (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Atlanta Braves: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.4/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Atlanta Braves went 1-1. Philadelphia Phillies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Philadelphia Phillies went 1-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 9
Los Angeles Dodgers over Chicago Cubs
WIN
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Odds-120
Confidence0.146 (data points: 16.541/28.873)
PitchingJustin Wrobleski vs Shota Imanaga
VenueUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
I keep landing on Los Angeles Dodgers over Chicago Cubs at -120 because this club can win in more than one game script while the other needs a narrower path. Pitching matchup: Justin Wrobleski vs Shota Imanaga.
For Los Angeles Dodgers, the offensive script is pressure over power: extend innings, make defenders execute, and cash one middle-inning chance. Availability note for Los Angeles Dodgers: Alex Call, Alex Freeland.
For Chicago Cubs, the counter is run prevention first: stay out of walk trouble and make Los Angeles Dodgers string hits together. Availability note for Chicago Cubs: Alex Bregman, Ben Brown. Weather context: 65.7°F, Wind 15.0 mph WSW, Humidity 46%, P.O.P. 0%. That is enough to stay on the original ticket.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Malachi Moore; First Base: Alfonso Márquez; Second Base: Willie Traynor; Third Base: Mike Estabrook
Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries: Alex Call (Active), Alex Freeland (Active), Alex Vesia (Active), Andy Pages (Active), Blake Treinen (Active), Dalton Rushing (Active), Edgardo Henriquez (Active), Emmet Sheehan (Active)
Chicago Cubs Injuries: Alex Bregman (Active), Ben Brown (Active), Carson Kelly (Active), Charlie Barnes (Active), Colin Rea (Active), Corbin Martin (Active), Dansby Swanson (Active), Edward Cabrera (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Los Angeles Dodgers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Los Angeles Dodgers went 0-2. Chicago Cubs: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.4/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Chicago Cubs went 3-0.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 10
Texas Rangers over Athletics
LOSS
Texas Rangers vs Athletics prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 2:35 PM ET
Odds-117
Confidence0.146 (data points: 16.092/28.092)
PitchingKumar Rocker vs J.T. Ginn
VenueGlobe Life Field
The pregame stance is still Texas Rangers over Athletics at -117 because this matchup still prices the steadier strike-throwing profile too cheaply. Pitching matchup: Kumar Rocker vs J.T. Ginn.
From the visitor perspective, Texas Rangers should attack this matchup by stacking quality plate appearances and forcing bullpen exposure. Availability note for Texas Rangers: Alejandro Osuna, Andrew McCutchen.
At home, Athletics needs command in fastball counts and a tidy bullpen handoff to overturn this read. Availability note for Athletics: Aaron Civale, Austin Wynns. Weather context: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.. Bottom line: same side, same stance.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Todd Tichenor; First Base: Tripp Gibson; Second Base: Clint Vondrak; Third Base: Austin Jones
Texas Rangers Injuries: Alejandro Osuna (Active), Andrew McCutchen (Active), Brandon Nimmo (Active), Cal Quantrill (Active), Cole Winn (Active), Corey Seager (Active), Danny Jansen (Active), Evan Carter (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Texas Rangers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Texas Rangers went 0-2; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Texas Rangers went 2-0. Athletics: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Athletics went 0-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 11
Chicago White Sox over Washington Nationals
LOSS
Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 2:10 PM ET
Odds-119
Confidence0.121 (data points: 13.194/23.534)
PitchingBryan Hudson vs Foster Griffin
VenueRate Field
I am not moving off Chicago White Sox over Washington Nationals at -119 because the better margin-for-error team is still the one on this side. Pitching matchup: Bryan Hudson vs Foster Griffin.
For Chicago White Sox, the offensive script is pressure over power: extend innings, make defenders execute, and cash one middle-inning chance. Availability note for Chicago White Sox: Andrew Benintendi, Anthony Kay.
For Washington Nationals, the counter is run prevention first: stay out of walk trouble and make Chicago White Sox string hits together. Availability note for Washington Nationals: Andre Granillo, Brad Lord. Weather context: 52.9°F, Wind 10.2 mph ENE, Humidity 91%, P.O.P. 0%. That keeps the original pick intact.
Expanded game context
Weather: 52.9°F, Wind 10.2 mph ENE (in from RF), Humidity 91%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Ryan Wills; First Base: Lance Barksdale; Second Base: Will Little; Third Base: Ryan Additon
Chicago White Sox Injuries: Andrew Benintendi (Active), Anthony Kay (Active), Bryan Hudson (Active), Chase Meidroth (Active), Colson Montgomery (Active), Davis Martin (Active), Derek Hill (Active), Drew Romo (Active)
Washington Nationals Injuries: Andre Granillo (Active), Brad Lord (Active), Brady House (Active), CJ Abrams (Active), Cade Cavalli (Active), Cionel Pérez (Active), Curtis Mead (Active), Daylen Lile (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Chicago White Sox: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Chicago White Sox went 3-1. Washington Nationals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Washington Nationals went 0-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 12
Tampa Bay Rays over Minnesota Twins
WIN
Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 1:40 PM ET
Odds-147
Confidence0.111 (data points: 15.225/27.419)
PitchingGriffin Jax vs Simeon Woods Richardson
VenueTropicana Field
I am not moving off Tampa Bay Rays over Minnesota Twins at -147 because the middle-inning profile remains more dependable here. Pitching matchup: Griffin Jax vs Simeon Woods Richardson.
For Tampa Bay Rays, the offensive script is pressure over power: extend innings, make defenders execute, and cash one middle-inning chance. Availability note for Tampa Bay Rays: Ben Williamson, Bryan Baker.
For Minnesota Twins, the counter is run prevention first: stay out of walk trouble and make Tampa Bay Rays string hits together. Availability note for Minnesota Twins: Andrew Morris, Anthony Banda. Weather context: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.. That keeps the original pick intact.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Chad Fairchild; First Base: Chad Whitson; Second Base: Bill Miller; Third Base: Brian Walsh
Tampa Bay Rays Injuries: Ben Williamson (Active), Bryan Baker (Active), Casey Legumina (Active), Cedric Mullins (Active), Chandler Simpson (Active), Cole Sulser (Active), Drew Rasmussen (Active), Griffin Jax (Active)
Minnesota Twins Injuries: Andrew Morris (Active), Anthony Banda (Active), Austin Martin (Active), Bailey Ober (Active), Brooks Lee (Active), Byron Buxton (Active), Cole Sands (Active), Connor Prielipp (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Tampa Bay Rays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Tampa Bay Rays went 2-1. Minnesota Twins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Minnesota Twins went 0-4.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 13
Colorado Rockies over New York Mets
WIN
Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 1:45 PM ET
Odds-221
Confidence0.092 (data points: 15.772/28.881)
PitchingChase Dollander vs Kodai Senga
VenueCiti Field
I am keeping Colorado Rockies over New York Mets at -221 because this club can win in more than one game script while the other needs a narrower path. Pitching matchup: Chase Dollander vs Kodai Senga.
For Colorado Rockies, the offensive script is pressure over power: extend innings, make defenders execute, and cash one middle-inning chance. Availability note for Colorado Rockies: Antonio Senzatela, Blas Castaño.
For New York Mets, the counter is run prevention first: stay out of walk trouble and make Colorado Rockies string hits together. Availability note for New York Mets: Austin Warren, Bo Bichette. Weather context: 52.3°F, Wind 9.9 mph NE, Humidity 65%, P.O.P. 0%. So the recommendation stays exactly where it started.
Expanded game context
Weather: 52.3°F, Wind 9.9 mph NE (in from CF), Humidity 65%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Ryan Blakney; First Base: Tyler Jones; Second Base: Marvin Hudson; Third Base: Nick Mahrley
New York Mets Injuries: Austin Warren (Active), Bo Bichette (Active), Brett Baty (Active), Brooks Raley (Active), Carl Edwards Jr. (Active), Carson Benge (Active), Clay Holmes (Active), Craig Kimbrel (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Colorado Rockies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.6/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Colorado Rockies went 2-1. New York Mets: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 14
San Francisco Giants over Miami Marlins
WIN
San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 4:05 PM ET
Odds-124
Confidence0.082 (data points: 12.246/22.628)
PitchingLanden Roupp vs Max Meyer
VenueOracle Park
The number still points to San Francisco Giants over Miami Marlins at -124 because this side is less exposed to a single bad inning derailing the full-game ticket. Pitching matchup: Landen Roupp vs Max Meyer.
The San Francisco Giants lineup does not need a slugfest to justify this side; it needs clean sequencing and competitive at-bats in run-scoring spots. Availability note for San Francisco Giants: Adrian Houser, Blade Tidwell.
The Miami Marlins club has a viable home script if it limits extra-base damage and keeps late innings from turning chaotic. Availability note for Miami Marlins: Agustín Ramírez, Andrew Nardi. Weather context: 61.1°F, Wind 9.6 mph W, Humidity 56%, P.O.P. 0%. Bottom line: same side, same stance.
Expanded game context
Weather: 61.1°F, Wind 9.6 mph W (out to CF), Humidity 56%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Shane Livensparger; First Base: Dan Merzel; Second Base: Dan Bellino; Third Base: Mark Ripperger
San Francisco Giants Injuries: Adrian Houser (Active), Blade Tidwell (Active), Caleb Kilian (Active), Casey Schmitt (Active), Christian Koss (Active), Drew Gilbert (Active), Eric Haase (Active), Erik Miller (Active)
Miami Marlins Injuries: Agustín Ramírez (Active), Andrew Nardi (Active), Anthony Bender (Active), Calvin Faucher (Active), Chris Paddack (Active), Connor Norby (Active), Esteury Ruiz (Active), Eury Pérez (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: San Francisco Giants: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), San Francisco Giants went 2-0. Miami Marlins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Miami Marlins went 1-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 15
Boston Red Sox over Baltimore Orioles
WIN
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 1:35 PM ET
Odds+117
Confidence0.075 (data points: 11.154/20.758)
PitchingConnelly Early vs Kyle Bradish
VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
The side I trust most is Boston Red Sox over Baltimore Orioles at +117 because this matchup still prices the steadier strike-throwing profile too cheaply. Pitching matchup: Connelly Early vs Kyle Bradish.
The Boston Red Sox lineup does not need a slugfest to justify this side; it needs clean sequencing and competitive at-bats in run-scoring spots. Availability note for Boston Red Sox: Andruw Monasterio, Aroldis Chapman.
The Baltimore Orioles club has a viable home script if it limits extra-base damage and keeps late innings from turning chaotic. Availability note for Baltimore Orioles: Adley Rutschman, Andrew Kittredge. Weather context: 50.9°F, Wind 8.1 mph N, Humidity 78%, P.O.P. 0%. That is enough to stay on the original ticket.
Expanded game context
Weather: 50.9°F, Wind 8.1 mph N (in from CF), Humidity 78%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Alex Tosi; First Base: Cory Blaser; Second Base: Jansen Visconti; Third Base: Andy Fletcher
Boston Red Sox Injuries: Andruw Monasterio (Active), Aroldis Chapman (Active), Brayan Bello (Active), Caleb Durbin (Active), Carlos Narváez (Active), Ceddanne Rafaela (Active), Connelly Early (Active), Connor Wong (Active)
Baltimore Orioles Injuries: Adley Rutschman (Active), Andrew Kittredge (Active), Anthony Nunez (Active), Blaze Alexander (Active), Brandon Young (Active), Chris Bassitt (Active), Coby Mayo (Active), Colton Cowser (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Boston Red Sox: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Boston Red Sox went 0-3. Baltimore Orioles: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Baltimore Orioles went 2-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 16
Los Angeles Angels over Kansas City Royals
LOSS
Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals prediction — 2026-04-26 • First pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Odds-103
Confidence0.044 (data points: 12.231/23.425)
PitchingReid Detmers vs Seth Lugo
VenueKauffman Stadium
The ticket stays Los Angeles Angels over Kansas City Royals at -103 because the cleaner run-prevention path sits with this side over a full nine. Pitching matchup: Reid Detmers vs Seth Lugo.
The Los Angeles Angels offense can drive this game by creating early traffic and forcing deep counts before the starter settles. Availability note for Los Angeles Angels: Adam Frazier, Brent Suter.
The Kansas City Royals side can still flip this game, but only with cleaner leverage pitching and fewer self-inflicted baserunners. Availability note for Kansas City Royals: Alex Lange, Bobby Witt Jr.. Weather context: 74.6°F, Wind 10.3 mph SE, Humidity 63%, P.O.P. 17%. That keeps the original pick intact.
Expanded game context
Weather: 74.6°F, Wind 10.3 mph SE (out to LF), Humidity 63%, P.O.P. 17% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Alex MacKay; First Base: Alan Porter; Second Base: Jim Wolf; Third Base: Derek Thomas
Los Angeles Angels Injuries: Adam Frazier (Active), Brent Suter (Active), Bryce Teodosio (Active), Chase Silseth (Active), Drew Pomeranz (Active), Jack Kochanowicz (Active), Jo Adell (Active), Joey Lucchesi (Active)
Kansas City Royals Injuries: Alex Lange (Active), Bobby Witt Jr. (Active), Carter Jensen (Active), Cole Ragans (Active), Daniel Lynch IV (Active), Eli Morgan (Active), Elias Díaz (Active), Isaac Collins (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Los Angeles Angels: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Los Angeles Angels went 0-2. Kansas City Royals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Kansas City Royals went 1-1.