Los Angeles Dodgers over Miami Marlins (-237) stays the right side because the original read still maps cleanly to how this game should unfold over nine innings. Confidence remains 0.738 (data points: 20.679/23.793999999999997).
For the road side, Los Angeles Dodgers needs to set the tone with competitive early counts and force longer innings before the game turns over to the back end. Los Angeles Dodgers is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
At UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Miami Marlins has enough talent to push back, but the home path depends on winning the middle innings and keeping free passes from snowballing. Miami Marlins is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings. The listed pitching matchup (Tyler Glasnow vs Sandy Alcantara) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Los Angeles Dodgers over Miami Marlins.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Austin Jones; First Base: Adam Hamari; Second Base: Tripp Gibson; Third Base: Clint Vondrak
Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries: Alex Call (Active), Alex Freeland (Active), Alex Vesia (Active), Andy Pages (Active), Blake Treinen (Active), Dalton Rushing (Active), Edgardo Henriquez (Active), Emmet Sheehan (Active)
Miami Marlins Injuries: Agustín Ramírez (Active), Andrew Nardi (Active), Anthony Bender (Active), Cade Gibson (Active), Calvin Faucher (Active), Chris Paddack (Active), Christopher Morel (Active), Connor Norby (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Los Angeles Dodgers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. Miami Marlins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 2
Toronto Blue Jays over Boston Red Sox
WIN
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 3:07 PM ET
Odds-120
Confidence0.431 (data points: 20.356/28.457)
PitchingEric Lauer vs Brayan Bello
VenueRogers Centre
The recommendation remains Toronto Blue Jays over Boston Red Sox at -120; the matchup still favors that side once you account for run-prevention depth and late-game leverage. Confidence remains 0.431 (data points: 20.356/28.457).
The away-team case starts with Toronto Blue Jays creating pressure in the first trip through the order instead of playing from behind all night. Toronto Blue Jays is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
Boston Red Sox can absolutely make this uncomfortable, particularly in home leverage spots, though the margin narrows quickly if command wobbles. Boston Red Sox is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings. The listed pitching matchup (Eric Lauer vs Brayan Bello) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Toronto Blue Jays over Boston Red Sox.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: James Jean; First Base: Ryan Blakney; Second Base: Marvin Hudson; Third Base: Brennan Miller
Toronto Blue Jays Injuries: Andrés Giménez (Active), Brandon Valenzuela (Active), Braydon Fisher (Active), Daulton Varsho (Active), Davis Schneider (Active), Dylan Cease (Active), Eric Lauer (Active), Ernie Clement (Active)
Boston Red Sox Injuries: Andruw Monasterio (Active), Aroldis Chapman (Active), Brayan Bello (Active), Caleb Durbin (Active), Carlos Narváez (Active), Ceddanne Rafaela (Active), Connelly Early (Active), Connor Wong (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Toronto Blue Jays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Toronto Blue Jays went 0-2. Boston Red Sox: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Boston Red Sox went 1-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 3
Arizona Diamondbacks over Milwaukee Brewers
WIN
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 7:40 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks over Milwaukee Brewers (+110) stays the right side because the original read still maps cleanly to how this game should unfold over nine innings. Confidence remains 0.401 (data points: 16.642/23.750999999999998).
Arizona Diamondbacks travels with a workable script here: protect the strike zone, cash in traffic quickly, and avoid giving away extra outs on the bases. Market movement has been active around this matchup, reinforcing how thin the margin is from first pitch through the bullpen frames.
Milwaukee Brewers can absolutely make this uncomfortable, particularly in home leverage spots, though the margin narrows quickly if command wobbles. Market movement has been active around this matchup, reinforcing how thin the margin is from first pitch through the bullpen frames. The listed pitching matchup (Eduardo Rodriguez vs Brandon Sproat) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Arizona Diamondbacks over Milwaukee Brewers.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Alfonso Márquez; First Base: Mike Estabrook; Second Base: Malachi Moore; Third Base: Lance Barrett
Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries: Adrian Del Castillo (Active), Alek Thomas (Active), Aramis Garcia (Active), Brandon Pfaadt (Active), Corbin Carroll (Active), Eduardo Rodriguez (Active), Geraldo Perdomo (Active), Ildemaro Vargas (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Arizona Diamondbacks: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Arizona Diamondbacks went 1-1. Milwaukee Brewers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Milwaukee Brewers went 0-2.
Line Movement: Moneyline moved from 104 to 105 (+1), away from the pick side.
Pick 4
Chicago Cubs over San Diego Padres
WIN
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Odds-102
Confidence0.240 (data points: 14.823/23.915)
PitchingJameson Taillon vs Matt Waldron
VenuePetco Park
Stick with Chicago Cubs over San Diego Padres (-102). The betting angle holds because this game profile still leans toward the listed side controlling more of the high-leverage outs. Confidence remains 0.240 (data points: 14.823/23.915).
For the road side, Chicago Cubs needs to set the tone with competitive early counts and force longer innings before the game turns over to the back end. Chicago Cubs is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
San Diego Padres can absolutely make this uncomfortable, particularly in home leverage spots, though the margin narrows quickly if command wobbles. San Diego Padres is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings. The listed pitching matchup (Jameson Taillon vs Matt Waldron) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Chicago Cubs over San Diego Padres.
Expanded game context
Weather: 71.2°F, Wind 8.4 mph W (in from RF), Humidity 55%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Mark Ripperger; First Base: Shane Livensparger; Second Base: Dan Merzel; Third Base: Dan Bellino
Chicago Cubs Injuries: Alex Bregman (Active), Ben Brown (Active), Carson Kelly (Active), Colin Rea (Active), Corbin Martin (Active), Dansby Swanson (Active), Edward Cabrera (Active), Hoby Milner (Active)
San Diego Padres Injuries: Adrian Morejon (Active), Bradgley Rodriguez (Active), Bryce Johnson (Active), David Morgan (Active), Fernando Tatis Jr. (Active), Freddy Fermin (Active), Gavin Sheets (Active), Germán Márquez (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Chicago Cubs: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Chicago Cubs went 1-2. San Diego Padres: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), San Diego Padres went 3-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 5
Seattle Mariners over Minnesota Twins
WIN
Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 1:40 PM ET
Odds-135
Confidence0.229 (data points: 14.348/23.348)
PitchingGeorge Kirby vs Taj Bradley
VenueTarget Field
Stick with Seattle Mariners over Minnesota Twins (-135). The betting angle holds because this game profile still leans toward the listed side controlling more of the high-leverage outs. Confidence remains 0.229 (data points: 14.348/23.348).
For the road side, Seattle Mariners needs to set the tone with competitive early counts and force longer innings before the game turns over to the back end. Seattle Mariners is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
The home outlook for Minnesota Twins is real, especially if the bullpen bridge is clean, yet this side still needs efficient sequencing with runners on. Minnesota Twins is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings. The listed pitching matchup (George Kirby vs Taj Bradley) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Seattle Mariners over Minnesota Twins.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Dexter Kelley; First Base: Mike Muchlinski; Second Base: Gabe Morales; Third Base: Doug Eddings
Seattle Mariners Injuries: Alex Hoppe (Active), Andrés Muñoz (Active), Bryan Woo (Active), Cal Raleigh (Active), Cole Wilcox (Active), Cole Young (Active), Connor Joe (Active), Cooper Criswell (Active)
Minnesota Twins Injuries: Andrew Morris (Active), Anthony Banda (Active), Austin Martin (Active), Bailey Ober (Active), Brooks Lee (Active), Byron Buxton (Active), Cole Sands (Active), Connor Prielipp (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Seattle Mariners: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Seattle Mariners went 2-1. Minnesota Twins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Minnesota Twins went 0-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 6
Pittsburgh Pirates over St. Louis Cardinals
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 6:40 PM ET
Odds-130
Confidence0.203 (data points: 17.472/29.052)
PitchingBubba Chandler vs Andre Pallante
VenuePNC Park
Stick with Pittsburgh Pirates over St. Louis Cardinals (-130). The betting angle holds because this game profile still leans toward the listed side controlling more of the high-leverage outs. Confidence remains 0.203 (data points: 17.472/29.052).
For the road side, Pittsburgh Pirates needs to set the tone with competitive early counts and force longer innings before the game turns over to the back end. Pittsburgh Pirates is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
St. Louis Cardinals can absolutely make this uncomfortable, particularly in home leverage spots, though the margin narrows quickly if command wobbles. Market movement has been active around this matchup, reinforcing how thin the margin is from first pitch through the bullpen frames. The listed pitching matchup (Bubba Chandler vs Andre Pallante) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Pittsburgh Pirates over St. Louis Cardinals.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Laz Diaz; First Base: Brian O'Nora; Second Base: Chris Segal; Third Base: Erich Bacchus
Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries: Billy Cook (Active), Brandon Lowe (Active), Braxton Ashcraft (Active), Bryan Reynolds (Active), Bubba Chandler (Active), Carmen Mlodzinski (Active), Chris Devenski (Active), Dennis Santana (Active)
St. Louis Cardinals Injuries: Alec Burleson (Active), Andre Pallante (Active), Dustin May (Active), George Soriano (Active), Gordon Graceffo (Active), Iván Herrera (Active), JJ Wetherholt (Active), JoJo Romero (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Pittsburgh Pirates: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Pittsburgh Pirates went 2-1. St. Louis Cardinals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.8/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), St. Louis Cardinals went 1-3.
Line Movement: Moneyline moved from -149 to -221 (-72), toward the pick side.
Pick 7
Atlanta Braves over Detroit Tigers
WIN
Atlanta Braves vs Detroit Tigers prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 7:15 PM ET
Atlanta Braves over Detroit Tigers (+119) stays the right side because the original read still maps cleanly to how this game should unfold over nine innings. Confidence remains 0.202 (data points: 14.272/23.749000000000002).
Atlanta Braves travels with a workable script here: protect the strike zone, cash in traffic quickly, and avoid giving away extra outs on the bases. Atlanta Braves is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
The home outlook for Detroit Tigers is real, especially if the bullpen bridge is clean, yet this side still needs efficient sequencing with runners on. Market movement has been active around this matchup, reinforcing how thin the margin is from first pitch through the bullpen frames. The listed pitching matchup (JR Ritchie vs Tarik Skubal) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Atlanta Braves over Detroit Tigers.
Expanded game context
Weather: 79.8°F, Wind 6.8 mph W (out to LF), Humidity 59%, P.O.P. 4% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Will Little; First Base: Roberto Ortiz; Second Base: Jim Wolf; Third Base: Alan Porter
Atlanta Braves Injuries: Aaron Bummer (Active), Austin Riley (Active), Bryce Elder (Active), Chris Sale (Active), Didier Fuentes (Active), Dominic Smith (Active), Drake Baldwin (Active), Dylan Lee (Active)
Detroit Tigers Injuries: Brant Hurter (Active), Brenan Hanifee (Active), Burch Smith (Active), Colt Keith (Active), Dillon Dingler (Active), Drew Anderson (Active), Enmanuel De Jesus (Active), Framber Valdez (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Atlanta Braves: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. Detroit Tigers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Detroit Tigers went 2-1.
Line Movement: Moneyline moved from 123 to -118 (-241), toward the pick side.
Pick 8
New York Yankees over Texas Rangers
LOSS
New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 2:35 PM ET
Odds-116
Confidence0.168 (data points: 8.752/14.983)
PitchingElmer Rodríguez vs Nathan Eovaldi
VenueGlobe Life Field
The recommendation remains New York Yankees over Texas Rangers at -116; the matchup still favors that side once you account for run-prevention depth and late-game leverage. Confidence remains 0.168 (data points: 8.752/14.983).
New York Yankees travels with a workable script here: protect the strike zone, cash in traffic quickly, and avoid giving away extra outs on the bases. New York Yankees is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
At Globe Life Field, Texas Rangers has enough talent to push back, but the home path depends on winning the middle innings and keeping free passes from snowballing. Texas Rangers is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings. The listed pitching matchup (Elmer Rodríguez vs Nathan Eovaldi) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep New York Yankees over Texas Rangers.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Tyler Jones; First Base: Ben May; Second Base: John Tumpane; Third Base: Chris Conroy
New York Yankees Injuries: Aaron Judge (Active), Amed Rosario (Active), Austin Wells (Active), Ben Rice (Active), Brent Headrick (Active), Cam Schlittler (Active), Camilo Doval (Active), Cody Bellinger (Active)
Texas Rangers Injuries: Alejandro Osuna (Active), Andrew McCutchen (Active), Brandon Nimmo (Active), Cal Quantrill (Active), Cole Winn (Active), Corey Seager (Active), Danny Jansen (Active), Evan Carter (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: New York Yankees: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.6/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), New York Yankees went 2-1. Texas Rangers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Texas Rangers went 0-3.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 9
Athletics over Kansas City Royals
In Progress
Athletics vs Kansas City Royals prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 9:40 PM ET
Stick with Athletics over Kansas City Royals (-119). The betting angle holds because this game profile still leans toward the listed side controlling more of the high-leverage outs. Confidence remains 0.134 (data points: 16.22/28.604999999999997).
For the road side, Athletics needs to set the tone with competitive early counts and force longer innings before the game turns over to the back end. Market movement has been active around this matchup, reinforcing how thin the margin is from first pitch through the bullpen frames.
Kansas City Royals can absolutely make this uncomfortable, particularly in home leverage spots, though the margin narrows quickly if command wobbles. Kansas City Royals is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings. The listed pitching matchup (Luis Severino vs Michael Wacha) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Athletics over Kansas City Royals.
Expanded game context
Weather: 81.4°F, Wind 3.8 mph NNW (in from RF), Humidity 27%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: John Libka; First Base: D.J. Reyburn; Second Base: James Hoye; Third Base: Sean Barber
Kansas City Royals Injuries: Alex Lange (Active), Bobby Witt Jr. (Active), Carter Jensen (Active), Cole Ragans (Active), Daniel Lynch IV (Active), Elias Díaz (Active), Isaac Collins (Active), Jac Caglianone (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Athletics: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Athletics went 0-2; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Athletics went 1-1. Kansas City Royals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average.
Line Movement: Moneyline moved from -118 to -123 (-5), toward the pick side.
Pick 10
Cincinnati Reds over Colorado Rockies
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 6:40 PM ET
Odds-151
Confidence0.133 (data points: 13.697/24.183)
PitchingBrandon Williamson vs Tomoyuki Sugano
VenueGreat American Ball Park
The recommendation remains Cincinnati Reds over Colorado Rockies at -151; the matchup still favors that side once you account for run-prevention depth and late-game leverage. Confidence remains 0.133 (data points: 13.697/24.183).
For the road side, Cincinnati Reds needs to set the tone with competitive early counts and force longer innings before the game turns over to the back end. Cincinnati Reds is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
Colorado Rockies can absolutely make this uncomfortable, particularly in home leverage spots, though the margin narrows quickly if command wobbles. Market movement has been active around this matchup, reinforcing how thin the margin is from first pitch through the bullpen frames. The listed pitching matchup (Brandon Williamson vs Tomoyuki Sugano) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Cincinnati Reds over Colorado Rockies.
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Cincinnati Reds: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Cincinnati Reds went 1-1. Colorado Rockies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Colorado Rockies went 3-1.
Line Movement: Moneyline moved from -150 to -171 (-21), toward the pick side.
Pick 11
Tampa Bay Rays over Cleveland Guardians
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 1:10 PM ET
Odds+101
Confidence0.077 (data points: 15.385/28.579)
PitchingDrew Rasmussen vs Gavin Williams
VenueProgressive Field
Stick with Tampa Bay Rays over Cleveland Guardians (+101). The betting angle holds because this game profile still leans toward the listed side controlling more of the high-leverage outs. Confidence remains 0.077 (data points: 15.385/28.579).
Tampa Bay Rays travels with a workable script here: protect the strike zone, cash in traffic quickly, and avoid giving away extra outs on the bases. Tampa Bay Rays is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
At Progressive Field, Cleveland Guardians has enough talent to push back, but the home path depends on winning the middle innings and keeping free passes from snowballing. Cleveland Guardians is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings. The listed pitching matchup (Drew Rasmussen vs Gavin Williams) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Tampa Bay Rays over Cleveland Guardians.
Expanded game context
Weather: 51.0°F, Wind 7.1 mph NNE (in from CF), Humidity 100%, P.O.P. 64% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Scott Barry; First Base: Manny Gonzalez; Second Base: Jacob Metz; Third Base: Tom Hanahan
Tampa Bay Rays Injuries: Ben Williamson (Active), Bryan Baker (Active), Casey Legumina (Active), Cedric Mullins (Active), Chandler Simpson (Active), Cole Sulser (Active), Drew Rasmussen (Active), Griffin Jax (Active)
Cleveland Guardians Injuries: Angel Martínez (Active), Austin Hedges (Active), Bo Naylor (Active), Brayan Rocchio (Active), Cade Smith (Active), Chase DeLauter (Active), Colin Holderman (Active), Connor Brogdon (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Tampa Bay Rays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Tampa Bay Rays went 4-0. Cleveland Guardians: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.4/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Cleveland Guardians went 1-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 12
Washington Nationals over New York Mets
WIN
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 7:10 PM ET
Odds+135
Confidence0.053 (data points: 14.989/28.461)
PitchingCade Cavalli vs David Peterson
VenueCiti Field
Washington Nationals over New York Mets (+135) stays the right side because the original read still maps cleanly to how this game should unfold over nine innings. Confidence remains 0.053 (data points: 14.989/28.461).
For the road side, Washington Nationals needs to set the tone with competitive early counts and force longer innings before the game turns over to the back end. Washington Nationals is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
At Citi Field, New York Mets has enough talent to push back, but the home path depends on winning the middle innings and keeping free passes from snowballing. New York Mets is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings. The listed pitching matchup (Cade Cavalli vs David Peterson) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Washington Nationals over New York Mets.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Bill Miller; First Base: Brian Walsh; Second Base: Chad Fairchild; Third Base: Chad Whitson
Washington Nationals Injuries: Andre Granillo (Active), Brad Lord (Active), Brady House (Active), CJ Abrams (Active), Cade Cavalli (Active), Cionel Pérez (Active), Curtis Mead (Active), Daylen Lile (Active)
New York Mets Injuries: Austin Slater (Active), Bo Bichette (Active), Brett Baty (Active), Brooks Raley (Active), Carl Edwards Jr. (Active), Carson Benge (Active), Christian Scott (Active), Clay Holmes (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Washington Nationals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Washington Nationals went 2-2. New York Mets: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 8.0/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), New York Mets went 1-2.
Line Movement: Moneyline moved from 140 to 178 (+38), away from the pick side.
Pick 13
Chicago White Sox over Los Angeles Angels
WIN
Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels prediction — 2026-04-29 • First pitch: 1:10 PM ET
Odds-100
Confidence0.050 (data points: 12.255/23.347)
PitchingErick Fedde vs Yusei Kikuchi
VenueRate Field
Chicago White Sox over Los Angeles Angels (-100) stays the right side because the original read still maps cleanly to how this game should unfold over nine innings. Confidence remains 0.050 (data points: 12.255/23.347).
The away-team case starts with Chicago White Sox creating pressure in the first trip through the order instead of playing from behind all night. Chicago White Sox is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings.
The home outlook for Los Angeles Angels is real, especially if the bullpen bridge is clean, yet this side still needs efficient sequencing with runners on. Los Angeles Angels is also managing a few availability questions, which puts more pressure on clean execution in leverage innings. The listed pitching matchup (Erick Fedde vs Yusei Kikuchi) keeps the original side intact rather than flipping the read. Bottom line: keep Chicago White Sox over Los Angeles Angels.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Vic Carapazza; First Base: John Bacon; Second Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Third Base: Nic Lentz
Chicago White Sox Injuries: Andrew Benintendi (Active), Anthony Kay (Active), Austin Hays (Active), Bryan Hudson (Active), Chase Meidroth (Active), Colson Montgomery (Active), Davis Martin (Active), Derek Hill (Active)
Los Angeles Angels Injuries: Adam Frazier (Active), Brent Suter (Active), Bryce Teodosio (Active), Chase Silseth (Active), Drew Pomeranz (Active), Jack Kochanowicz (Active), Jo Adell (Active), Jorge Soler (Active)
Starting Lineups: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Chicago White Sox: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Chicago White Sox went 1-2. Los Angeles Angels: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Los Angeles Angels went 0-2.