Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers — OVER 8.05
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.05
Odds-113
Confidence0.907
VenueTarget Field
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJoe Ryan vs Shohei Ohtani
Run-total lens: OVER 8.05 in Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 8.0 in Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total up.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Noah Cameron vs Griffin Jax
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.5 to 8.36 (+0.86).
Run Total 3
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — OVER 9.5
WIN
LeanOVER 9.5
Odds-106
Confidence0.525
VenueGreat American Ball Park
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupShane Drohan vs Rhett Lowder
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Shane Drohan vs Rhett Lowder
Weather: 79.2°F, Wind 7.2 mph W (out to CF), Humidity 37%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 4
Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-112
Confidence0.381
VenueRogers Centre
Game InfoStart: 7:07 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTrey Yesavage vs Mike Burrows
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Trey Yesavage vs Mike Burrows
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 5
New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-105
Confidence0.357
VenueCiti Field
Game InfoStart: 1:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupNolan McLean vs Javier Assad
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors under, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Nolan McLean vs Javier Assad
Weather: 81.7°F, Wind 9.1 mph WNW (in from RF), Humidity 35%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.5 to 8.45 (-0.05).
Run Total 6
St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks — OVER 8.79
WIN
LeanOVER 8.79
Odds-110
Confidence0.254
VenueBusch Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:45 PM ET
Pitching MatchupMatthew Liberatore vs Mitch Bratt
Run-total lens: OVER 8.79 in St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Matthew Liberatore vs Mitch Bratt
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.86 to 8.82 (-0.04).
Run Total 7
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals — OVER 8.07
WIN
LeanOVER 8.07
Odds-109
Confidence0.246
VenueNationals Park
Game InfoStart: 6:45 PM ET
Pitching MatchupAaron Nola vs Carson Palmquist
Run-total lens: OVER 8.07 in Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Aaron Nola vs Carson Palmquist
Weather: 83.6°F, Wind 5.5 mph NW (in from RF), Humidity 33%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.5 to 8.09 (-1.41).
Run Total 8
Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies — OVER 10.59
WIN
LeanOVER 10.59
Odds-113
Confidence0.228
VenueCoors Field
Game InfoStart: 3:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupRanger Suarez vs Kyle Freeland
Run-total lens: OVER 10.59 in Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Ranger Suarez vs Kyle Freeland
Weather: 80.9°F, Wind 9.5 mph NNE (in from CF), Humidity 53%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 9
Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-104
Confidence0.216
VenuePNC Park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBryan Woo vs Braxton Ashcraft
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: market moved total up, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1).
Run Total 10
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — UNDER 8.41
WIN
LeanUNDER 8.41
Odds-116
Confidence0.177
VenueRate Field
Game InfoStart: 2:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTanner Bibee vs Erick Fedde
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.41 in Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Tanner Bibee vs Erick Fedde
Weather: 67.8°F, Wind 4.1 mph NNE (out to RF), Humidity 93%, P.O.P. 21% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 11
Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles — UNDER 9.0
LOSS
LeanUNDER 9.0
Odds-108
Confidence0.175
VenueAngel Stadium
Game InfoStart: 4:07 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJosé Soriano vs Trey Gibson
Run-total lens: UNDER 9.0 in Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Texas Rangers vs Miami Marlins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Jacob deGrom vs Eury Pérez
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 13
Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees — OVER 7.23
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.23
Odds-109
Confidence0.109
VenueComerica Park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTarik Skubal vs Ryan Weathers
Run-total lens: OVER 7.23 in Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Tarik Skubal vs Ryan Weathers
Weather: 71.2°F, Wind 5.1 mph S (in from LF), Humidity 52%, P.O.P. 28% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 14
Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets — OVER 8.07
WIN
LeanOVER 8.07
Odds-109
Confidence0.073
VenueCiti Field
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupShota Imanaga vs Sean Manaea
Run-total lens: OVER 8.07 in Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors under, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Shota Imanaga vs Sean Manaea
Weather: 81.7°F, Wind 9.1 mph WNW (in from RF), Humidity 35%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.5 to 8.45 (-0.05).
Run Total 15
San Francisco Giants vs Athletics — UNDER 8.5
In Progress
LeanUNDER 8.5
Odds-101
Confidence0.052
VenueOracle Park
Game InfoStart: 9:45 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTyler Mahle vs Gage Jump
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Athletics. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total up.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Tyler Mahle vs Gage Jump
Weather: 61.2°F, Wind 10.7 mph W (out to CF), Humidity 86%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.0 to 8.5 (+0.5).