Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind-to-lf aligns with right-handed top bats, high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians — OVER 7.38
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.38
Odds-111
Confidence0.802
VenueCitizens Bank Park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.38 in Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: cool run environment, high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly.
Expanded total context
Weather: 56.7°F, Wind 6.2 mph ENE (in from LF), Humidity 83%, P.O.P. 28% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 6.9 to 7.4 (+0.5).
Run Total 3
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays — OVER 7.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.0
Odds-115
Confidence0.646
VenueYankee Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.0 in New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 61.6°F, Wind 9.0 mph SE (in from LF), Humidity 45%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.0 to 7.0 (-1).
Run Total 4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies — OVER 9.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.5
Odds-102
Confidence0.538
VenueChase Field
Game InfoStart: 9:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.55 to 9.33 (+0.78).
Run Total 5
Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants — UNDER 8.07
LOSS
LeanUNDER 8.07
Odds-104
Confidence0.532
VenueOracle Park
Game InfoStart: 10:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.07 in Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing out, cool run environment, high humidity suppresses carry, park leans pitcher-friendly.
Expanded total context
Weather: 56.8°F, Wind 12.6 mph W (out to CF), Humidity 90%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.05 to 8.35 (+1.3).
Run Total 6
Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels — OVER 8.14
WIN
LeanOVER 8.14
Odds-110
Confidence0.53
VenueAngel Stadium
Game InfoStart: 9:38 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.14 in Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, team/park run history leans over, savant contact quality leans under.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.77 to 8.17 (+0.4).
Run Total 7
Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals — OVER 9.0
PUSH
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-107
Confidence0.497
VenueTruist Park
Game InfoStart: 7:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 75.7°F, Wind 10.8 mph SE (in from CF), Humidity 80%, P.O.P. 38% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.95 to 9.15 (+0.2).
Run Total 8
Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles — UNDER 8.0
LOSS
LeanUNDER 8.0
Odds-104
Confidence0.473
VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
Game InfoStart: 7:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.0 in Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: cool run environment, high humidity suppresses carry, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 54.7°F, Wind 7.6 mph E (in from LF), Humidity 90%, P.O.P. 37% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.5 to 8.0 (-0.5).
Run Total 9
New York Mets vs Miami Marlins — UNDER 7.5
WIN
LeanUNDER 7.5
Odds-107
Confidence0.374
VenueloanDepot park
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in New York Mets vs Miami Marlins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 7.85 to 7.56 (-0.29).
Run Total 10
Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-113
Confidence0.203
VenueKauffman Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: 68.3°F, Wind 4.0 mph E (in from LF), Humidity 85%, P.O.P. 6% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.1 to 8.5 (+0.4).
Run Total 11
Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins — OVER 7.18
WIN
LeanOVER 7.18
Odds-108
Confidence0.17
VenueFenway Park
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.18 in Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up, team/park run history leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: 60.7°F, Wind 5.4 mph SE (out to LF), Humidity 40%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.55 to 8.5 (+0.95).
Run Total 12
Chicago Cubs vs Houston Astros — OVER 7.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.0
Odds-102
Confidence0.169
VenueWrigley Field
Game InfoStart: 2:20 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.0 in Chicago Cubs vs Houston Astros. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up, run context favors under.
Expanded total context
Weather: 60.9°F, Wind 11.4 mph NE (in from CF), Humidity 63%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.05 to 7.5 (+0.45).
Run Total 13
Athletics vs San Diego Padres — UNDER 7.57
LOSS
LeanUNDER 7.57
Odds-103
Confidence0.164
VenuePetco Park
Game InfoStart: 9:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.57 in Athletics vs San Diego Padres. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 67.4°F, Wind 6.5 mph W (in from RF), Humidity 68%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.0 to 7.83 (-0.17).
Run Total 14
Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates — OVER 7.5
WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-100
Confidence0.075
VenueRogers Centre
Game InfoStart: 7:07 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, market moved total down, team/park run history leans over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.0 to 7.5 (-0.5).
Run Total 15
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers — OVER 9.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-103
Confidence0.038
VenueAmerican Family Field
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors under.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.35 to 9.0 (+0.65).