Run-total lens: OVER 9.25 in New York Yankees vs Houston Astros. Supporting context includes high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 9.0 to 9.36 (+0.36).
Run Total 2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres — OVER 15.8
LOSS
LeanOVER 15.8
Odds-105
Confidence0.672
VenueEstadio Alfredo Harp Helu
Game InfoStart: 6:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 15.8 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres. Supporting context includes offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 15.59 to 15.5 (-0.09).
Run Total 3
Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals — OVER 8.75
WIN
LeanOVER 8.75
Odds+104
Confidence0.532
VenueRate Field
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.75 in Chicago White Sox vs Washington Nationals. Supporting context includes cool run environment, high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down.
Expanded total context
Weather: 49.2°F, Wind 10.1 mph N (out to RF), Humidity 87%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.68 to 8.45 (-0.23).
Run Total 4
Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers — OVER 9.0
WIN
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-104
Confidence0.519
VenueGreat American Ball Park
Game InfoStart: 7:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers. Supporting context includes wind-to-rf aligns with left-handed top bats, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 74.5°F, Wind 7.6 mph N (out to RF), Humidity 46%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.45 to 9.0 (-0.45).
Run Total 5
Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals — UNDER 7.5
LOSS
LeanUNDER 7.5
Odds-110
Confidence0.479
VenueBusch Stadium
Game InfoStart: 2:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals. Supporting context includes market moved total up, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: 74.2°F, Wind 4.1 mph NE (in from CF), Humidity 52%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.64 to 8.0 (+0.36).
Run Total 6
Athletics vs Texas Rangers — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-107
Confidence0.468
VenueGlobe Life Field
Game InfoStart: 7:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Athletics vs Texas Rangers. Supporting context includes roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.68 to 8.5 (+0.82).
Run Total 7
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — OVER 7.79
WIN
LeanOVER 7.79
Odds-106
Confidence0.345
VenueAmerican Family Field
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.79 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates. Supporting context includes roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.0 to 7.73 (-0.27).
Run Total 8
Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians — OVER 7.0
WIN
LeanOVER 7.0
Odds-112
Confidence0.226
VenueRogers Centre
Game InfoStart: 3:07 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.0 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians. Supporting context includes roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.77 to 8.18 (+0.41).
Run Total 9
Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers — OVER 9.08
WIN
LeanOVER 9.08
Odds-113
Confidence0.199
VenueUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.08 in Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Supporting context includes market moved total down, run context favors over, savant contact quality leans over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.5 to 9.05 (-0.45).
Run Total 10
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves — OVER 8.29
WIN
LeanOVER 8.29
Odds-109
Confidence0.189
VenueTruist Park
Game InfoStart: 7:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.29 in Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves. Supporting context includes high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 68.6°F, Wind 1.4 mph W (out to LF), Humidity 86%, P.O.P. 15% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.5 to 8.36 (-0.14).
Run Total 11
Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-112
Confidence0.185
VenueKauffman Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals. Supporting context includes park leans hitter-friendly, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under, savant contact quality leans over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 74.4°F, Wind 5.2 mph ESE (in from LF), Humidity 46%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 8.5.
Run Total 12
San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins — OVER 7.5
WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-105
Confidence0.175
VenueOracle Park
Game InfoStart: 4:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins. Supporting context includes cool run environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 56.9°F, Wind 9.0 mph W (out to CF), Humidity 71%, P.O.P. 5% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 13
Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-113
Confidence0.163
VenueTropicana Field
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays. Supporting context includes roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total up.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.0 to 8.5 (+0.5).
Run Total 14
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox — OVER 7.36
WIN
LeanOVER 7.36
Odds-105
Confidence0.13
VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
Game InfoStart: 12:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.36 in Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox. Supporting context includes cool run environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 58.5°F, Wind 10.1 mph E (in from LF), Humidity 70%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.68 to 7.77 (+0.09).