Run-total lens: UNDER 7.0 in Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 59.0°F, Wind 10.4 mph ENE (in from RF), Humidity 63%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 2
Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels — OVER 8.32
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.32
Odds-108
Confidence0.461
VenueAngel Stadium
Game InfoStart: 9:38 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.32 in Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over, team/park run history leans over.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.14 to 5.56 (-2.58).
Run Total 3
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays — OVER 8.27
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.27
Odds-111
Confidence0.376
VenueYankee Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.27 in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 61.8°F, Wind 1.6 mph N (in from RF), Humidity 74%, P.O.P. 4% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 4
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets — OVER 7.77
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.77
Odds-110
Confidence0.18
VenueNationals Park
Game InfoStart: 4:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.77 in Washington Nationals vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 60.3°F, Wind 11.3 mph N (in from CF), Humidity 80%, P.O.P. 6% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 5
Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins — OVER 7.5
WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-105
Confidence0.176
VenueloanDepot park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 6
Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — OVER 8.56
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.56
Odds-115
Confidence0.165
VenueChase Field
Game InfoStart: 9:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.56 in Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, market moved total down, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.0 to 8.65 (-0.35).
Run Total 7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals — UNDER 7.0
LOSS
LeanUNDER 7.0
Odds-106
Confidence0.087
VenueBusch Stadium
Game InfoStart: 1:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.0 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 66.7°F, Wind 6.1 mph NNE (in from RF), Humidity 73%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)