Run-total lens: OVER 7.94 in Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 81.0°F, Wind 2.3 mph ESE (in from CF), Humidity 29%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 2
Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox — OVER 9.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-109
Confidence0.709
VenueTarget Field
Game InfoStart: 1:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 81.1°F, Wind 10.3 mph S (in from LF), Humidity 34%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 3
Los Angeles Angels vs Colorado Rockies — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-120
Confidence0.68
VenueAngel Stadium
Game InfoStart: 9:38 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs Colorado Rockies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.5 to 15.71 (+7.21).
Run Total 4
Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays — OVER 8.45
WIN
LeanOVER 8.45
Odds-104
Confidence0.638
VenueTropicana Field
Game InfoStart: 1:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.45 in Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 5
New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-107
Confidence0.56
VenueYankee Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 77.2°F, Wind 10.3 mph SSE (in from LF), Humidity 30%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.36 to 8.45 (+1.09).
Run Total 6
Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals — OVER 8.05
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.05
Odds-105
Confidence0.547
VenueNationals Park
Game InfoStart: 1:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.05 in Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 81.7°F, Wind 7.7 mph N (in from CF), Humidity 27%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 7
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — OVER 10.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 10.0
Odds-109
Confidence0.495
VenueFenway Park
Game InfoStart: 6:45 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 10.0 in Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind-to-lf aligns with right-handed top bats, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up.
Expanded total context
Weather: 81.1°F, Wind 9.7 mph SE (out to LF), Humidity 31%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 9.0 to 10.09 (+1.09).
Run Total 8
San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers — OVER 9.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.5
Odds-101
Confidence0.428
VenueAmerican Family Field
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.0 to 9.5 (+1.5).
Run Total 9
Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets — OVER 7.4
WIN
LeanOVER 7.4
Odds-101
Confidence0.385
VenueT-Mobile Park
Game InfoStart: 3:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.4 in Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 10
Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-111
Confidence0.371
VenueDaikin Park
Game InfoStart: 8:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 75.1°F, Wind 2.7 mph N (in from CF), Humidity 95%, P.O.P. 46% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1).
Run Total 11
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres — OVER 8.1
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.1
Odds-111
Confidence0.323
VenueCitizens Bank Park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.1 in Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 83.9°F, Wind 1.1 mph N (in from CF), Humidity 24%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.5 to 8.2 (+0.7).
Run Total 12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — OVER 9.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.5
Odds-107
Confidence0.283
VenueChase Field
Game InfoStart: 9:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, market moved total up, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 9.0 to 9.5 (+0.5).
Run Total 13
Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals — OVER 7.81
WIN
LeanOVER 7.81
Odds-108
Confidence0.257
VenueBusch Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:45 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.81 in Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 82.3°F, Wind 4.7 mph SE (in from LF), Humidity 34%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 14
Chicago Cubs vs Athletics — OVER 11.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 11.0
Odds-110
Confidence0.23
VenueWrigley Field
Game InfoStart: 8:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 11.0 in Chicago Cubs vs Athletics. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: 68.2°F, Wind 4.5 mph ENE (in from LF), Humidity 58%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.95 to 9.69 (+0.74).
Run Total 15
Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves — UNDER 7.5
LOSS
LeanUNDER 7.5
Odds-107
Confidence0.183
VenueTruist Park
Game InfoStart: 7:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: 78.0°F, Wind 8.3 mph ENE (in from RF), Humidity 37%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.14 to 7.5 (-0.64).