Cleveland Guardians vs Washington Nationals — OVER 7.86
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.86
Odds-105
Confidence0.832
VenueProgressive Field
Game InfoStart: 1:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.86 in Cleveland Guardians vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 71.7°F, Wind 5.4 mph NNW (in from CF), Humidity 80%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 2
Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros — OVER 7.61
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.61
Odds-115
Confidence0.832
VenueGlobe Life Field
Game InfoStart: 8:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.61 in Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans over, savant contact quality leans over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 3
Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox — OVER 7.2
WIN
LeanOVER 7.2
Odds-113
Confidence0.802
VenueFenway Park
Game InfoStart: 6:45 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.2 in Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind-to-rf mismatches right-heavy top bats, warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly.
Expanded total context
Weather: 86.1°F, Wind 8.7 mph W (out to RF), Humidity 35%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.14 to 7.27 (-0.87).
Run Total 4
New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals — OVER 8.59
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.59
Odds-115
Confidence0.647
VenueKauffman Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.59 in New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 83.0°F, Wind 8.8 mph E (in from LF), Humidity 50%, P.O.P. 2% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies — OVER 8.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.0
Odds-111
Confidence0.594
VenueUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Game InfoStart: 10:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.0 in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over, team/park run history leans over.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.09 to 7.19 (-0.9).
Run Total 6
Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles — OVER 9.45
WIN
LeanOVER 9.45
Odds-104
Confidence0.559
VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
Game InfoStart: 6:35 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.45 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total up, run context favors under, team/park run history leans over.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.5 to 9.0 (+1.5).
Run Total 8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants — OVER 7.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-109
Confidence0.286
VenueOracle Park
Game InfoStart: 3:45 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: UNDER 9.0 in Seattle Mariners vs Athletics. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres — UNDER 7.0
WIN
LeanUNDER 7.0
Odds-113
Confidence0.26
VenuePetco Park
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.0 in Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 7.58 in Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 65.7°F, Wind 6.4 mph NNE (out to RF), Humidity 77%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.15 to 7.64 (-0.51).
Run Total 12
New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds — OVER 8.18
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.18
Odds-110
Confidence0.121
VenueCiti Field
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.18 in New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over, team/park run history leans over.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.59 to 7.5 (-1.09).
Run Total 14
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals — UNDER 8.05
WIN
LeanUNDER 8.05
Odds-106
Confidence0.078
VenueAmerican Family Field
Game InfoStart: 1:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.05 in Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 15
Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins — OVER 7.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-105
Confidence0.036
VenueRogers Centre
Game InfoStart: 1:07 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.