Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners — OVER 9.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 9.5
Odds-108
Confidence0.645
VenueUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Game InfoStart: 10:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupEric Lauer vs Emerson Hancock
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over, team/park run history leans over.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 9.32 to 9.5 (+0.18).
Run Total 2
Boston Red Sox vs Athletics — OVER 10.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 10.5
Odds-113
Confidence0.531
VenueSutter Health Park
Game InfoStart: 9:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupPatrick Sandoval vs Jacob Lopez
Run-total lens: OVER 10.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Athletics. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, run context favors over, savant contact quality leans under.
San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers — UNDER 7.5
PENDING
LeanUNDER 7.5
Odds-109
Confidence0.475
VenueOracle Park
Game InfoStart: 3:45 PM ET
Pitching MatchupLogan Webb vs Shane Drohan
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: park leans pitcher-friendly, savant contact quality leans under, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Logan Webb vs Shane Drohan
Weather: 70.6°F, Wind 10.5 mph W (out to CF), Humidity 67%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 4
Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals — OVER 8.0
PENDING
LeanOVER 8.0
Odds-110
Confidence0.449
VenueBusch Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:45 PM ET
Pitching MatchupMatthew Boyd vs Dustin May
Run-total lens: OVER 8.0 in Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Matthew Boyd vs Dustin May
Weather: 88.6°F, Wind 7.8 mph NNE (in from RF), Humidity 34%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 8.0.
Run Total 5
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks — OVER 8.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-102
Confidence0.431
VenuePNC Park
Game InfoStart: 12:35 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJared Jones vs Eduardo Rodriguez
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Jared Jones vs Eduardo Rodriguez
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins — UNDER 7.5
PENDING
LeanUNDER 7.5
Odds-102
Confidence0.352
VenueloanDepot park
Game InfoStart: 12:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJesús Luzardo vs Ryan Gusto
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total down.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Jesús Luzardo vs Ryan Gusto
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 7.55 to 7.5 (-0.05).
Run Total 7
Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles — OVER 7.55
PENDING
LeanOVER 7.55
Odds-109
Confidence0.324
VenueComerica Park
Game InfoStart: 1:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTarik Skubal vs Trevor Rogers
Run-total lens: OVER 7.55 in Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing out, wind-to-rf mismatches right-heavy top bats, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Tarik Skubal vs Trevor Rogers
Weather: 80.4°F, Wind 12.8 mph N (out to RF), Humidity 37%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 7.77 to 7.55 (-0.22).
Run Total 8
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — OVER 7.45
PENDING
LeanOVER 7.45
Odds-102
Confidence0.323
VenueCiti Field
Game InfoStart: 1:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupChris Sale vs Christian Scott
Run-total lens: OVER 7.45 in Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, team/park run history leans over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Chris Sale vs Christian Scott
Weather: 78.2°F, Wind 8.8 mph W (out to RF), Humidity 73%, P.O.P. 6% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.4 to 7.45 (-0.95).
Run Total 9
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — OVER 7.45
PENDING
LeanOVER 7.45
Odds-102
Confidence0.323
VenueCiti Field
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupChris Sale vs Christian Scott
Run-total lens: OVER 7.45 in Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, team/park run history leans over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Chris Sale vs Christian Scott
Weather: 78.2°F, Wind 8.8 mph W (out to RF), Humidity 73%, P.O.P. 6% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.4 to 7.45 (-0.95).
Run Total 10
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels — OVER 9.64
PENDING
LeanOVER 9.64
Odds-113
Confidence0.253
VenueAngel Stadium
Game InfoStart: 9:38 PM ET
Pitching MatchupHayden Wesneski vs Grayson Rodriguez
Run-total lens: OVER 9.64 in Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Hayden Wesneski vs Grayson Rodriguez
Total Movement: Total moved up from 9.59 to 9.64 (+0.05).
Run Total 11
Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals — OVER 8.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-106
Confidence0.233
VenueTarget Field
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJoe Ryan vs Randy Dobnak
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans under, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Joe Ryan vs Randy Dobnak
Weather: 94.0°F, Wind 2.7 mph S (in from LF), Humidity 26%, P.O.P. 6% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 8.5.
Run Total 12
Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds — UNDER 9.0
PENDING
LeanUNDER 9.0
Odds-115
Confidence0.202
VenueGreat American Ball Park
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJoey Cantillo vs Brady Singer
Run-total lens: UNDER 9.0 in Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind-to-rf aligns with left-handed top bats, park leans hitter-friendly, team/park run history leans under, savant contact quality leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Joey Cantillo vs Brady Singer
Weather: 82.6°F, Wind 9.0 mph N (out to RF), Humidity 36%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 9.0.
Run Total 13
New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox — OVER 7.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-108
Confidence0.201
VenueRate Field
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupCam Schlittler vs Davis Martin
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Cam Schlittler vs Davis Martin
Weather: 71.4°F, Wind 7.0 mph N (out to RF), Humidity 78%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 14
Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays — UNDER 7.5
PENDING
LeanUNDER 7.5
Odds-114
Confidence0.159
VenueTropicana Field
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupMacKenzie Gore vs Casey Legumina
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, team/park run history leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: MacKenzie Gore vs Casey Legumina
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 15
Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals — OVER 9.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 9.5
Odds-100
Confidence0.151
VenueNationals Park
Game InfoStart: 1:05 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTrey Yesavage vs Zack Littell
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing in, offensive indicator edge, run context favors over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Trey Yesavage vs Zack Littell
Weather: 84.4°F, Wind 13.9 mph NW (in from RF), Humidity 49%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)