Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies — OVER 9.9
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.9
Odds-104
Confidence1.212
VenueCitizens Bank Park
Game InfoStart: 4:05 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBrandon Eisert vs Andrew Painter
Run-total lens: OVER 9.9 in Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing out, warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Brandon Eisert vs Andrew Painter
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.75 to 9.68 (-0.07).
Run Total 2
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — OVER 9.0
WIN
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-114
Confidence0.795
VenueBusch Stadium
Game InfoStart: 2:15 PM ET
Pitching MatchupMatthew Liberatore vs Nick Lodolo
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind-to-lf aligns with right-handed top bats, warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Matthew Liberatore vs Nick Lodolo
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.5 to 8.91 (-0.59).
Run Total 3
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-109
Confidence0.678
VenueRogers Centre
Game InfoStart: 3:07 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBraydon Fisher vs Kyle Bradish
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans over, savant contact quality leans over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Braydon Fisher vs Kyle Bradish
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 8.0.
Run Total 4
Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies — OVER 12.17
In Progress
LeanOVER 12.17
Odds-112
Confidence0.587
VenueCoors Field
Game InfoStart: 9:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJacob Misiorowski vs Zach Agnos
Run-total lens: OVER 12.17 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing out, warm run environment, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Jacob Misiorowski vs Zach Agnos
Weather: 85.1°F, Wind 17.7 mph S (out to CF), Humidity 19%, P.O.P. 11% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 10.5 to 12.14 (+1.64).
Run Total 5
Athletics vs Houston Astros — UNDER 9.0
LOSS
LeanUNDER 9.0
Odds-107
Confidence0.552
VenueDaikin Park
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupKade Morris vs Tatsuya Imai
Run-total lens: UNDER 9.0 in Athletics vs Houston Astros. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Kade Morris vs Tatsuya Imai
Weather: 77.2°F, Wind 3.4 mph NNW (in from CF), Humidity 85%, P.O.P. 64% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.15 to 9.0 (-0.15).
Run Total 6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-105
Confidence0.541
VenueChase Field
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupEduardo Rodriguez vs Zack Littell
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Eduardo Rodriguez vs Zack Littell
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.0 to 8.5 (-0.5).
Run Total 7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves — OVER 8.8
WIN
LeanOVER 8.8
Odds-108
Confidence0.435
VenueTruist Park
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBraxton Ashcraft vs Spencer Strider
Run-total lens: OVER 8.8 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Braxton Ashcraft vs Spencer Strider
Weather: 85.8°F, Wind 6.9 mph SSW (in from LF), Humidity 44%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.4 to 8.64 (+0.24).
Run Total 8
Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers — OVER 9.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-103
Confidence0.377
VenueComerica Park
Game InfoStart: 1:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBryce Miller vs Keider Montero
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total down, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Bryce Miller vs Keider Montero
Weather: 81.9°F, Wind 6.1 mph W (out to LF), Humidity 51%, P.O.P. 2% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.5 to 8.36 (-0.14).
Run Total 9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels — UNDER 8.5
In Progress
LeanUNDER 8.5
Odds-108
Confidence0.361
VenueUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Game InfoStart: 10:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupYoshinobu Yamamoto vs Jack Kochanowicz
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.5 in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: run context favors over, team/park run history leans under, savant contact quality leans under, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Jack Kochanowicz
Run-total lens: OVER 7.71 in New York Mets vs San Diego Padres. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total down.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 7.7 to 7.58 (-0.12).
Run Total 11
Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-108
Confidence0.306
VenueTarget Field
Game InfoStart: 2:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJoe Ryan vs Luinder Avila
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: market moved total up, run context favors over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Joe Ryan vs Luinder Avila
Weather: 83.0°F, Wind 4.6 mph NNE (out to RF), Humidity 45%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.4 to 9.0 (+0.6).
Run Total 12
Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians — OVER 7.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds+100
Confidence0.256
VenueGlobe Life Field
Game InfoStart: 7:35 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJack Leiter vs Tanner Bibee
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Jack Leiter vs Tanner Bibee
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.0 to 7.5 (-0.5).
Run Total 13
Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants — OVER 7.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-108
Confidence0.163
VenueWrigley Field
Game InfoStart: 2:20 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBen Brown vs Landen Roupp
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total down, run context favors under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Ben Brown vs Landen Roupp
Weather: 75.2°F, Wind 5.2 mph ENE (in from LF), Humidity 93%, P.O.P. 5% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.1 to 8.0 (-0.1).
Run Total 14
Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins — UNDER 8.2
WIN
LeanUNDER 8.2
Odds-109
Confidence0.025
VenueloanDepot park
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupShane McClanahan vs Lake Bachar
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.2 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total up.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Shane McClanahan vs Lake Bachar
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.0 to 8.32 (+0.32).