Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies. Supporting context includes wind blowing out, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total down.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.5 to 9.0 (-0.5).
Run Total 5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers — OVER 7.5
WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-116
Confidence0.436
VenueAmerican Family Field
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers. Supporting context includes roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.5 to 7.5 (-1).
Run Total 6
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres — OVER 8.55
WIN
LeanOVER 8.55
Odds-119
Confidence0.383
VenuePetco Park
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.55 in Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres. Supporting context includes frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: 71.2°F, Wind 8.4 mph W (in from RF), Humidity 55%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 7
Atlanta Braves vs Detroit Tigers — OVER 8.25
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.25
Odds-109
Confidence0.369
VenueTruist Park
Game InfoStart: 7:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.25 in Atlanta Braves vs Detroit Tigers. Supporting context includes offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: 79.8°F, Wind 6.8 mph W (out to LF), Humidity 59%, P.O.P. 4% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.95 to 8.36 (+0.41).
Run Total 8
New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-113
Confidence0.348
VenueGlobe Life Field
Game InfoStart: 2:35 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers. Supporting context includes frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 9
Athletics vs Kansas City Royals — UNDER 9.56
WIN
LeanUNDER 9.56
Odds-105
Confidence0.345
VenueSutter Health Park
Game InfoStart: 9:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 9.56 in Athletics vs Kansas City Royals. Supporting context includes market moved total down, team/park run history leans under, savant contact quality leans over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: 81.4°F, Wind 3.8 mph NNW (in from RF), Humidity 27%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 10.1 to 9.55 (-0.55).
Run Total 10
Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels — OVER 8.68
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.68
Odds-113
Confidence0.322
VenueRate Field
Game InfoStart: 1:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.68 in Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels. Supporting context includes frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in Washington Nationals vs New York Mets. Supporting context includes cool run environment, high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 7.55 to 7.5 (-0.05).
Run Total 12
Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals — UNDER 7.5
LOSS
LeanUNDER 7.5
Odds-119
Confidence0.222
VenuePNC Park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals. Supporting context includes cool run environment, high humidity suppresses carry, market moved total down, run context favors over.