San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies — OVER 10.94
WIN
LeanOVER 10.94
Odds-106
Confidence0.917
VenueCoors Field
Game InfoStart: 9:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 10.94 in San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 71.0°F, Wind 7.6 mph ENE (in from LF), Humidity 31%, P.O.P. 5% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 10.9 to 11.0 (+0.1).
Run Total 2
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals — OVER 9.0
WIN
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-108
Confidence0.697
VenueNationals Park
Game InfoStart: 4:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing in, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 73.4°F, Wind 12.9 mph N (in from RF), Humidity 37%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.5 to 9.0 (+1.5).
Run Total 3
Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-115
Confidence0.665
VenueGreat American Ball Park
Game InfoStart: 7:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 77.2°F, Wind 10.5 mph NE (in from RF), Humidity 28%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 9.5 to 8.5 (-1).
Run Total 4
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles — OVER 8.17
WIN
LeanOVER 8.17
Odds-113
Confidence0.527
VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
Game InfoStart: 4:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.17 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing in, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 70.9°F, Wind 11.8 mph NNW (in from RF), Humidity 41%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.55 to 8.0 (+0.45).
Run Total 5
Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels — OVER 8.0
WIN
LeanOVER 8.0
Odds-107
Confidence0.494
VenueTropicana Field
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.0 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total up.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.0 to 8.0 (+1).
Run Total 6
New York Yankees vs Athletics — OVER 10.36
LOSS
LeanOVER 10.36
Odds+105
Confidence0.466
VenueSutter Health Park
Game InfoStart: 10:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 10.36 in New York Yankees vs Athletics. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 9.5 to 10.25 (+0.75).
Run Total 7
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox — OVER 7.5
WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-114
Confidence0.381
VenueRate Field
Game InfoStart: 2:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing in, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 67.2°F, Wind 13.2 mph NE (in from RF), Humidity 59%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.64 to 7.82 (+0.18).
Run Total 8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins — OVER 7.6
WIN
LeanOVER 7.6
Odds-113
Confidence0.373
VenuePNC Park
Game InfoStart: 4:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.6 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind-to-rf aligns with left-handed top bats, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 74.3°F, Wind 9.0 mph NNE (out to RF), Humidity 31%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.32 to 7.5 (-0.82).
Run Total 9
Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians — OVER 7.5
WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-108
Confidence0.332
VenueProgressive Field
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing in, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 64.0°F, Wind 14.8 mph NNE (in from LF), Humidity 57%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 6.73 to 7.5 (+0.77).
Run Total 10
Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers — OVER 7.7
WIN
LeanOVER 7.7
Odds-104
Confidence0.324
VenueDaikin Park
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.7 in Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total down, run context favors over.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.64 to 7.64 (-1).
Run Total 11
Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals — OVER 8.64
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.64
Odds-113
Confidence0.276
VenueBusch Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:15 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 8.64 in Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, market moved total up, run context favors over, savant contact quality leans over.
Expanded total context
Weather: 76.7°F, Wind 5.1 mph ESE (in from LF), Humidity 90%, P.O.P. 47% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.27 to 8.64 (+0.37).
Run Total 12
Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals — UNDER 7.6
LOSS
LeanUNDER 7.6
Odds-106
Confidence0.197
VenueGlobe Life Field
Game InfoStart: 4:05 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.6 in Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, market moved total down, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 7.95 to 7.5 (-0.45).
Run Total 13
Miami Marlins vs New York Mets — OVER 7.3
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.3
Odds-112
Confidence0.193
VenueCiti Field
Game InfoStart: 4:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.3 in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing in, cool run environment, offensive indicator edge, market moved total up.
Expanded total context
Weather: 57.8°F, Wind 13.4 mph N (in from CF), Humidity 62%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.0 to 7.5 (+0.5).
Run Total 14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies — UNDER 9.0
WIN
LeanUNDER 9.0
Odds-119
Confidence0.156
VenueUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Game InfoStart: 10:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: UNDER 9.0 in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: market moved total up, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under, savant contact quality leans under.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 8.5 to 8.82 (+0.32).
Run Total 15
Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks — OVER 7.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-108
Confidence0.013
VenueT-Mobile Park
Game InfoStart: 10:10 PM ET
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total up, run context favors over.
Expanded total context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved up from 7.0 to 7.5 (+0.5).