MLB Daily Notebook — 2026-04-30

Toby Quinn (Contrarian) — This matchup sets up this way: New York Mets over Washington Nationals at -192. Model confidence is 0.709 on 19.95/23.346. Market framing still leaves room for this side to win without a perfect script. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, and matchup history leverage, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality and recent form. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from -208 to -192 (+16), away from the pick side. Lineup status: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time. New York Mets: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. Washington Nationals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Washington Nationals went 2-0. Metrics context: Pricing context leans clearly toward this side; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup is less favorable (lineup fit -0.30); books show wider disagreement. Weather and crew context: 53.1°F, Wind 3.8 mph W (out to RF), Humidity 89%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: Brian Walsh; First Base: Chad Fairchild; Second Base: Chad Whitson; Third Base: Bill Miller. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.709 (data points: 19.95/23.346); odds=-192; pitching=Freddy Peralta vs Miles Mikolas; line move=Moneyline moved from -208 to -192 (+16), away from the pick side.; weather=53.1°F, Wind 3.8 mph W (out to RF), Humidity 89%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Brian Walsh; First Base: Chad Fairchild; Second Base: Chad Whitson; Third Base: Bill Miller; lineups=Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.; lineup impact=New York Mets: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Washington Nationals went 2-0.; signal-count edge=New York Mets (15-3); New York Mets favored metrics=avg, groundOuts, airOuts, doubles, triples, homeRuns (+9 more); Washington Nationals favored metrics=runs, rbi, Most wins.

Dex Numbers (Quant) — Game-day notebook: Baltimore Orioles over Houston Astros at +102. Model confidence is 0.289 on 18.467/28.662. The edge comes from stacked moderate signals rather than one noisy outlier. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, and matchup history leverage, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality, run prevention stability, matchup history leverage, and recent form. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from -120 to -130 (-10), toward the pick side. Lineup status: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time. Baltimore Orioles: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. Houston Astros: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Houston Astros went 1-1; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Houston Astros went 0-2. Metrics context: Pricing context leans clearly toward this side; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup supports this side (lineup fit +0.19); books are tightly aligned. Weather and crew context: 65.2°F, Wind 11.8 mph WNW (out to RF), Humidity 47%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: Rob Drake; First Base: Derek Thomas; Second Base: Junior Valentine; Third Base: Jordan Baker. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.289 (data points: 18.467/28.662); odds=+102; pitching=Brandon Young vs Lance McCullers Jr.; line move=Moneyline moved from -120 to -130 (-10), toward the pick side.; weather=65.2°F, Wind 11.8 mph WNW (out to RF), Humidity 47%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Rob Drake; First Base: Derek Thomas; Second Base: Junior Valentine; Third Base: Jordan Baker; lineups=Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.; lineup impact=Baltimore Orioles: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Houston Astros went 1-1; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Houston Astros went 0-2.; signal-count edge=Baltimore Orioles (15-10); Baltimore Orioles favored metrics=groundOuts, airOuts, whip, strikeoutWalkRatio, walksPer9Inn, hitsPer9Inn (+9 more); Houston Astros favored metrics=avg, runs, doubles, triples, homeRuns, rbi (+4 more).

Mack Ledger (Market Maker) — Game-day notebook: Atlanta Braves over Detroit Tigers at -125. Model confidence is 0.426 on 19.878/27.878. Price and matchup are aligned, so the read stays actionable. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, matchup history leverage, and recent form, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality, run prevention stability, and matchup history leverage. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from -123 to -125 (-2), toward the pick side. Lineup status: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time. Atlanta Braves: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. Detroit Tigers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Detroit Tigers went 0-2. Metrics context: Pricing context gives a modest edge; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup supports this side (lineup fit +0.31); books are tightly aligned. Weather and crew context: 66.4°F, Wind 9.2 mph NW (out to CF), Humidity 72%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: Roberto Ortiz; First Base: Jim Wolf; Second Base: Alan Porter; Third Base: Will Little. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.426 (data points: 19.878/27.878); odds=-125; pitching=Bryce Elder vs Framber Valdez; line move=Moneyline moved from -123 to -125 (-2), toward the pick side.; weather=66.4°F, Wind 9.2 mph NW (out to CF), Humidity 72%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Roberto Ortiz; First Base: Jim Wolf; Second Base: Alan Porter; Third Base: Will Little; lineups=Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.; lineup impact=Atlanta Braves: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Detroit Tigers went 0-2.; signal-count edge=Atlanta Braves (15-8); Atlanta Braves favored metrics=avg, airOuts, runs, homeRuns, rbi, whip (+9 more); Detroit Tigers favored metrics=groundOuts, doubles, triples, strikePercentage, Pitcher has fewer hits vs opposing team, Pitcher has fewer runs vs opposing team (+2 more).

Ivy Chen (Data Scientist) — This matchup sets up this way: Toronto Blue Jays over Minnesota Twins at -134. Model confidence is 0.368 on 19.486/28.486. Directional probability and practical matchup context are rowing together. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, matchup history leverage, and recent form, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality and matchup history leverage. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from -133 to -107 (+26), away from the pick side. Lineup status: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time. Toronto Blue Jays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Toronto Blue Jays went 3-1. Minnesota Twins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. Metrics context: Pricing context is closer to balanced; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup supports this side (lineup fit +0.14); books are tightly aligned. Weather and crew context: 50.6°F, Wind 8.2 mph NNW (out to CF), Humidity 35%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: Manny Gonzalez; First Base: Jacob Metz; Second Base: Tom Hanahan; Third Base: Scott Barry. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.368 (data points: 19.486/28.486); odds=-134; pitching=Kevin Gausman vs Bailey Ober; line move=Moneyline moved from -133 to -107 (+26), away from the pick side.; weather=50.6°F, Wind 8.2 mph NNW (out to CF), Humidity 35%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Manny Gonzalez; First Base: Jacob Metz; Second Base: Tom Hanahan; Third Base: Scott Barry; lineups=Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.; lineup impact=Toronto Blue Jays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. Minnesota Twins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average.; signal-count edge=Toronto Blue Jays (15-8); Toronto Blue Jays favored metrics=avg, doubles, whip, strikeoutWalkRatio, strikeoutsPer9Inn, walksPer9Inn (+9 more); Minnesota Twins favored metrics=groundOuts, airOuts, runs, triples, homeRuns, rbi (+2 more).

Rico Heatcheck (Momentum & Vibes) — First-pitch read: Cincinnati Reds over Colorado Rockies at -162. Model confidence is 0.336 on 14.736/22.068. The profile carries fewer soft spots once leverage innings arrive. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, matchup history leverage, and recent form, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality, run prevention stability, and matchup history leverage. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from -172 to -162 (+10), away from the pick side. Lineup status: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time. Cincinnati Reds: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. Colorado Rockies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. Metrics context: Pricing context leans clearly toward this side; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup is less favorable (lineup fit -0.22); books show wider disagreement. Weather and crew context: 51.9°F, Wind 7.9 mph N (out to RF), Humidity 67%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: Bruce Dreckman; First Base: Mark Wegner; Second Base: Carlos Torres; Third Base: Nate Tomlinson. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.336 (data points: 14.736/22.068); odds=-162; pitching=Andrew Abbott vs Michael Lorenzen; line move=Moneyline moved from -172 to -162 (+10), away from the pick side.; weather=51.9°F, Wind 7.9 mph N (out to RF), Humidity 67%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Bruce Dreckman; First Base: Mark Wegner; Second Base: Carlos Torres; Third Base: Nate Tomlinson; lineups=Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.; lineup impact=Cincinnati Reds: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. Colorado Rockies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average.; signal-count edge=Cincinnati Reds (13-7); Cincinnati Reds favored metrics=avg, groundOuts, runs, triples, homeRuns, rbi (+7 more); Colorado Rockies favored metrics=airOuts, doubles, strikeoutWalkRatio, walksPer9Inn, era, strikePercentage (+1 more).

Vince Valentino (Showman) — Here’s the card: Philadelphia Phillies over San Francisco Giants at -140. Model confidence is 0.393 on 16.613/23.859. This number and narrative line up in a way that is playable, not just loud. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, and matchup history leverage, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality, run prevention stability, and recent form. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from -140 to -143 (-3), toward the pick side. Lineup status: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time. Philadelphia Phillies: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. San Francisco Giants: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.8/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), San Francisco Giants went 1-2. Metrics context: Pricing context leans clearly toward this side; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup is close to neutral. Weather and crew context: 57.6°F, Wind 3.9 mph WSW (out to RF), Humidity 86%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: Charlie Ramos; First Base: Jen Pawol; Second Base: Chris Guccione; Third Base: Nestor Ceja. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.393 (data points: 16.613/23.859); odds=-140; pitching=Cristopher Sánchez vs Logan Webb; line move=Moneyline moved from -140 to -143 (-3), toward the pick side.; weather=57.6°F, Wind 3.9 mph WSW (out to RF), Humidity 86%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Charlie Ramos; First Base: Jen Pawol; Second Base: Chris Guccione; Third Base: Nestor Ceja; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Philadelphia Phillies: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), San Francisco Giants went 1-2.; signal-count edge=Philadelphia Phillies (15-7); Philadelphia Phillies favored metrics=groundOuts, runs, triples, homeRuns, rbi, strikeoutWalkRatio (+9 more); San Francisco Giants favored metrics=avg, airOuts, doubles, whip, hitsPer9Inn, homeRunsPer9 (+1 more).

Maya Rios (Process Coach) — First-pitch read: Pittsburgh Pirates over St. Louis Cardinals at -240. Model confidence is 0.291 on 9.416/14.592. This is a disciplined edge profile, not a chase setup. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, matchup history leverage, and recent form, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality and matchup history leverage. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from -224 to -240 (-16), toward the pick side. Lineup status: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time. Pittsburgh Pirates: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Pittsburgh Pirates went 0-2. St. Louis Cardinals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.8/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), St. Louis Cardinals went 2-1. Metrics context: Pricing context leans clearly toward this side; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup is close to neutral; books show wider disagreement. Weather and crew context: 48.3°F, Wind 11.4 mph WNW (out to CF), Humidity 79%, P.O.P. 4% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: Brian O'Nora; First Base: Chris Segal; Second Base: Erich Bacchus; Third Base: Laz Diaz. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.291 (data points: 9.416/14.592); odds=-240; pitching=Paul Skenes vs Hunter Dobbins; line move=Moneyline moved from -224 to -240 (-16), toward the pick side.; weather=48.3°F, Wind 11.4 mph WNW (out to CF), Humidity 79%, P.O.P. 4% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Brian O'Nora; First Base: Chris Segal; Second Base: Erich Bacchus; Third Base: Laz Diaz; lineups=Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.; lineup impact=Pittsburgh Pirates: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. Louis Cardinals went 2-1.; signal-count edge=Pittsburgh Pirates (8-5); Pittsburgh Pirates favored metrics=avg, airOuts, runs, triples, Most wins, Batters have most runs vs opposing pitcher (+2 more); St. Louis Cardinals favored metrics=groundOuts, doubles, homeRuns, rbi, Batters have most hits vs opposing pitcher.

Lena Park (Weather/Umpire Specialist) — Here’s the card: Athletics over Kansas City Royals at -123. Model confidence is 0.267 on 17.467/27.567999999999998. External context reinforces the base handicap instead of fighting it. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, matchup history leverage, and recent form, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality, run prevention stability, and matchup history leverage. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from -128 to -123 (+5), away from the pick side. Lineup status: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time. Athletics: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Athletics went 2-0. Kansas City Royals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Kansas City Royals went 2-1. Metrics context: Pricing context gives a modest edge; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup is less favorable (lineup fit -0.19); books are tightly aligned. Weather and crew context: 74.4°F, Wind 3.8 mph NW (in from RF), Humidity 49%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: D.J. Reyburn; First Base: James Hoye; Second Base: Sean Barber; Third Base: John Libka. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.267 (data points: 17.467/27.567999999999998); odds=-123; pitching=Jeffrey Springs vs Noah Cameron; line move=Moneyline moved from -128 to -123 (+5), away from the pick side.; weather=74.4°F, Wind 3.8 mph NW (in from RF), Humidity 49%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: D.J. Reyburn; First Base: James Hoye; Second Base: Sean Barber; Third Base: John Libka; lineups=Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.; lineup impact=Athletics: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Kansas City Royals went 2-1.; signal-count edge=Athletics (15-10); Athletics favored metrics=airOuts, triples, homeRuns, whip, strikeoutWalkRatio, walksPer9Inn (+9 more); Kansas City Royals favored metrics=avg, groundOuts, runs, doubles, rbi, strikeoutsPer9Inn (+4 more).

Dex Numbers (Quant) — First-pitch read: Houston Astros over Baltimore Orioles at +102. Model confidence is 0.104 on 12.58/22.8. The edge comes from stacked moderate signals rather than one noisy outlier. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, matchup history leverage, and recent form, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality, run prevention stability, and matchup history leverage. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from 102 to 109 (+7), away from the pick side. Lineup status: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time. Houston Astros: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Houston Astros went 1-1; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Houston Astros went 0-2. Baltimore Orioles: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. Metrics context: Pricing context is closer to balanced; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup is less favorable (lineup fit -0.19); books are tightly aligned. Weather and crew context: 65.2°F, Wind 11.8 mph WNW (out to RF), Humidity 47%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: Rob Drake; First Base: Derek Thomas; Second Base: Junior Valentine; Third Base: Jordan Baker. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.104 (data points: 12.58/22.8); odds=+102; pitching=Lance McCullers Jr. vs Chris Bassitt; line move=Moneyline moved from 102 to 109 (+7), away from the pick side.; weather=65.2°F, Wind 11.8 mph WNW (out to RF), Humidity 47%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Rob Drake; First Base: Derek Thomas; Second Base: Junior Valentine; Third Base: Jordan Baker; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Houston Astros: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. Baltimore Orioles: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average.; signal-count edge=Houston Astros (12-9); Houston Astros favored metrics=airOuts, runs, doubles, triples, whip, strikeoutWalkRatio (+6 more); Baltimore Orioles favored metrics=avg, groundOuts, homeRuns, rbi, runsScoredPer9, homeRunsPer9 (+3 more).

Vince Valentino (Showman) — Here’s the card: Philadelphia Phillies over San Francisco Giants at -140. Model confidence is 0.393 on 16.613/23.859. This number and narrative line up in a way that is playable, not just loud. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, and matchup history leverage, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality, run prevention stability, and recent form. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from -140 to -143 (-3), toward the pick side. Lineup status: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time. Philadelphia Phillies: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. San Francisco Giants: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.8/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), San Francisco Giants went 1-2. Metrics context: Pricing context leans clearly toward this side; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup is close to neutral. Weather and crew context: 57.6°F, Wind 3.9 mph WSW (out to RF), Humidity 86%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback) / Home Plate: Charlie Ramos; First Base: Jen Pawol; Second Base: Chris Guccione; Third Base: Nestor Ceja. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.393 (data points: 16.613/23.859); odds=-140; pitching=Cristopher Sánchez vs Logan Webb; line move=Moneyline moved from -140 to -143 (-3), toward the pick side.; weather=57.6°F, Wind 3.9 mph WSW (out to RF), Humidity 86%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Charlie Ramos; First Base: Jen Pawol; Second Base: Chris Guccione; Third Base: Nestor Ceja; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Philadelphia Phillies: Compared with last 4 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), San Francisco Giants went 1-2.; signal-count edge=Philadelphia Phillies (15-7); Philadelphia Phillies favored metrics=groundOuts, runs, triples, homeRuns, rbi, strikeoutWalkRatio (+9 more); San Francisco Giants favored metrics=avg, airOuts, doubles, whip, hitsPer9Inn, homeRunsPer9 (+1 more).

Grant Halberd (Beat Writer) — First-pitch read: Arizona Diamondbacks over Milwaukee Brewers at +109. Model confidence is 0.125 on 13.618/24.203000000000003. One club enters with steadier two-way structure while the other needs extra variance. The preferred side grades better on run creation quality, run prevention stability, matchup history leverage, and recent form, while the opposing profile still shows volatility around run creation quality, run prevention stability, and matchup history leverage. Market movement reads: Moneyline moved from 106 to 109 (+3), away from the pick side. Lineup status: Both starting lineups were announced at publish time. Arizona Diamondbacks: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Arizona Diamondbacks went 1-1. Milwaukee Brewers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Milwaukee Brewers went 2-1; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Milwaukee Brewers went 0-2. Metrics context: Pricing context is closer to balanced; bullpen fatigue context is mostly even; platoon split setup is less favorable (lineup fit -0.25). Weather and crew context: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable. / Home Plate: Mike Estabrook; First Base: Malachi Moore; Second Base: Lance Barrett; Third Base: Alfonso Márquez. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.125 (data points: 13.618/24.203000000000003); odds=+109; pitching=Michael Soroka vs Brandon Woodruff; line move=Moneyline moved from 106 to 109 (+3), away from the pick side.; weather=Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.; umpire=Home Plate: Mike Estabrook; First Base: Malachi Moore; Second Base: Lance Barrett; Third Base: Alfonso Márquez; lineups=Both starting lineups were announced at publish time.; lineup impact=Arizona Diamondbacks: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Milwaukee Brewers went 2-1; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Milwaukee Brewers went 0-2.; signal-count edge=Arizona Diamondbacks (13-9); Arizona Diamondbacks favored metrics=groundOuts, doubles, triples, homeRuns, rbi, strikeoutWalkRatio (+7 more); Milwaukee Brewers favored metrics=avg, airOuts, runs, whip, walksPer9Inn, hitsPer9Inn (+3 more).