Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies — UNDER 8.05
PENDING
LeanUNDER 8.05
Odds-105
Confidence0.653
VenueloanDepot park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupSandy Alcantara vs Aaron Nola
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.05 in Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: roof-controlled environment, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total down, savant contact quality leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Sandy Alcantara vs Aaron Nola
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.14 to 8.05 (-0.09).
Run Total 2
Boston Red Sox vs Athletics — OVER 9.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 9.5
Odds-111
Confidence0.532
VenueSutter Health Park
Game InfoStart: 9:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupJake Bennett vs Gage Jump
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Athletics. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Run-total lens: OVER 8.05 in New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing out, wind-to-rf mismatches right-heavy top bats, high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Gerrit Cole vs Anthony Kay
Weather: 68.6°F, Wind 11.8 mph N (out to RF), Humidity 82%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 8.05.
Run Total 4
Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles — OVER 9.18
PENDING
LeanOVER 9.18
Odds-110
Confidence0.427
VenueComerica Park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTroy Melton vs Dean Kremer
Run-total lens: OVER 9.18 in Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing out, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, team/park run history leans over.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Troy Melton vs Dean Kremer
Weather: 80.3°F, Wind 12.8 mph N (out to CF), Humidity 47%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 9.18.
Run Total 5
Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians — UNDER 9.0
PENDING
LeanUNDER 9.0
Odds-113
Confidence0.303
VenueGreat American Ball Park
Game InfoStart: 1:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupChase Burns vs Slade Cecconi
Run-total lens: UNDER 9.0 in Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, park leans hitter-friendly, team/park run history leans under.
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.05 in San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, market moved total down.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Michael King vs Michael Lorenzen
Total Movement: Total moved down from 8.09 to 8.05 (-0.04).
Run Total 7
Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals — OVER 9.05
PENDING
LeanOVER 9.05
Odds-114
Confidence0.263
VenueTarget Field
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTaj Bradley vs Seth Lugo
Run-total lens: OVER 9.05 in Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: warm run environment, offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans under, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays — UNDER 8.59
PENDING
LeanUNDER 8.59
Odds-102
Confidence0.228
VenueNationals Park
Game InfoStart: 6:45 PM ET
Pitching MatchupCade Cavalli vs Shane Bieber
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.59 in Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, run context favors over, team/park run history leans under.
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.18 in Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans under, savant contact quality leans under, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: high humidity suppresses carry, offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans over, savant contact quality leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Chris Sale vs Christian Scott
Weather: 74.6°F, Wind 10.4 mph SE (out to LF), Humidity 83%, P.O.P. 26% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total unchanged at 7.5.
Run Total 11
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks — UNDER 9.0
PENDING
LeanUNDER 9.0
Odds-109
Confidence0.075
VenuePNC Park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBubba Chandler vs Brandon Pfaadt
Run-total lens: UNDER 9.0 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: offensive indicator edge, team/park run history leans under, savant hard-hit profile leans under.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Bubba Chandler vs Brandon Pfaadt
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants — OVER 7.5
PENDING
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-106
Confidence0.051
VenueOracle Park
Game InfoStart: 9:45 PM ET
Pitching MatchupLogan Henderson vs Landen Roupp
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: wind blowing out, offensive indicator edge, park leans pitcher-friendly, team/park run history leans under.