Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — OVER 11.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 11.5
Odds+100
Confidence0.963
VenueCoors Field
Game InfoStart: 8:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupKyle Freeland vs Roki Sasaki
Run-total lens: OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Kyle Freeland vs Roki Sasaki
Weather: 89.2°F, Wind 12.1 mph NE (in from LF), Humidity 22%, P.O.P. 10% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 2
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies — OVER 9.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-105
Confidence0.773
VenueCitizens Bank Park
Game InfoStart: 6:05 PM ET
Pitching MatchupSandy Alcantara vs Aaron Nola
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Sandy Alcantara vs Aaron Nola
Weather: 85.5°F, Wind 6.6 mph W (out to RF), Humidity 49%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 3
Kansas City Royals vs Athletics — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-121
Confidence0.537
VenueKauffman Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupSeth Lugo vs Jeffrey Springs
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Athletics. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Drew Rasmussen vs Max Scherzer
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 5
Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves — OVER 9.0
WIN
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-102
Confidence0.491
VenueTarget Field
Game InfoStart: 1:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupTaj Bradley vs AJ Smith-Shawver
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Taj Bradley vs AJ Smith-Shawver
Weather: 74.6°F, Wind 1.6 mph ENE (in from RF), Humidity 41%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 6
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers — OVER 8.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.0
Odds-115
Confidence0.416
VenuePNC Park
Game InfoStart: 12:35 PM ET
Pitching MatchupPaul Skenes vs Jackson Jobe
Run-total lens: OVER 8.0 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Sean Newcomb vs Clay Holmes
Weather: 75.0°F, Wind 5.8 mph ENE (in from CF), Humidity 83%, P.O.P. 4% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 8
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-114
Confidence0.365
VenueCiti Field
Game InfoStart: 1:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupMichael King vs Robert Stock
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in San Diego Padres vs New York Mets. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 8.0 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Will Warren vs Chris Bassitt
Weather: 87.3°F, Wind 5.4 mph W (out to RF), Humidity 49%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 11
Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers — OVER 7.5
WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-107
Confidence0.253
VenueAmerican Family Field
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupLogan Gilbert vs Dustin May
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Logan Gilbert vs Dustin May
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 12
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-110
Confidence0.194
VenueDaikin Park
Game InfoStart: 8:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupEthan Pecko vs Walbert Ureña
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Ethan Pecko vs Walbert Ureña
Weather: 88.1°F, Wind 8.1 mph S (out to CF), Humidity 60%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 13
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals — OVER 8.5
WIN
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-103
Confidence0.153
VenueGreat American Ball Park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupChase Burns vs Matthew Liberatore
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Chase Burns vs Matthew Liberatore
Weather: 77.6°F, Wind 1.8 mph S (in from LF), Humidity 85%, P.O.P. 5% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 14
Washington Nationals vs Texas Rangers — UNDER 7.5
WIN
LeanUNDER 7.5
Odds-105
Confidence0.144
VenueGlobe Life Field
Game InfoStart: 8:05 PM ET
Pitching MatchupCade Cavalli vs Kumar Rocker
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in Washington Nationals vs Texas Rangers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Cade Cavalli vs Kumar Rocker
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.