Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies — OVER 11.5
WIN
LeanOVER 11.5
Odds-115
Confidence0.837
VenueCoors Field
Game InfoStart: 8:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupEric Lauer vs Ryan Feltner
Run-total lens: OVER 11.5 in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Eric Lauer vs Ryan Feltner
Weather: 86.1°F, Wind 4.9 mph NE (in from LF), Humidity 25%, P.O.P. 4% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 2
Athletics vs Kansas City Royals — OVER 9.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-111
Confidence0.642
VenueKauffman Stadium
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupBrady Basso vs Daniel Lynch IV
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Athletics vs Kansas City Royals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 9.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Carlos Rodón vs Shane Baz
Weather: 85.2°F, Wind 8.1 mph NW (in from RF), Humidity 59%, P.O.P. 2% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 5
Cleveland Guardians vs San Francisco Giants — OVER 8.0
WIN
LeanOVER 8.0
Odds-112
Confidence0.471
VenueProgressive Field
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupFoster Griffin vs Carson Whisenhunt
Run-total lens: OVER 8.0 in Cleveland Guardians vs San Francisco Giants. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Foster Griffin vs Carson Whisenhunt
Weather: 78.7°F, Wind 7.0 mph W (in from RF), Humidity 56%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 6
Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks — OVER 7.5
WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-113
Confidence0.402
VenueFenway Park
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupRanger Suarez vs Merrill Kelly
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Ranger Suarez vs Merrill Kelly
Weather: 71.5°F, Wind 5.6 mph E (in from LF), Humidity 82%, P.O.P. 2% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 7
Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels — OVER 9.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-119
Confidence0.385
VenueDaikin Park
Game InfoStart: 8:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupCristian Javier vs George Klassen
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Cristian Javier vs George Klassen
Weather: 87.2°F, Wind 6.7 mph S (out to CF), Humidity 76%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 8
Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves — OVER 9.0
LOSS
LeanOVER 9.0
Odds-105
Confidence0.305
VenueTarget Field
Game InfoStart: 7:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupZebby Matthews vs Tyler Mahle
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 9.0 in St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Bryce Miller vs Kyle Harrison
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 11
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins — UNDER 8.0
LOSS
LeanUNDER 8.0
Odds-102
Confidence0.078
VenueCitizens Bank Park
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupZack Wheeler vs Cade Gibson
Run-total lens: UNDER 8.0 in Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Zack Wheeler vs Cade Gibson
Weather: 85.5°F, Wind 10.0 mph NNW (in from RF), Humidity 60%, P.O.P. 15% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 12
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays — OVER 7.5
WIN
LeanOVER 7.5
Odds-105
Confidence0.077
VenueTropicana Field
Game InfoStart: 6:40 PM ET
Pitching MatchupNick Martinez vs José Soriano
Run-total lens: OVER 7.5 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Nick Martinez vs José Soriano
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 13
New York Mets vs San Diego Padres — OVER 8.5
LOSS
LeanOVER 8.5
Odds-110
Confidence0.075
VenueCiti Field
Game InfoStart: 7:10 PM ET
Pitching MatchupZac Thornton vs Robbie Ray
Run-total lens: OVER 8.5 in New York Mets vs San Diego Padres. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Zac Thornton vs Robbie Ray
Weather: 79.4°F, Wind 4.7 mph S (out to CF), Humidity 78%, P.O.P. 8% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Total Movement: Total movement unavailable.
Run Total 14
Texas Rangers vs Washington Nationals — UNDER 7.5
WIN
LeanUNDER 7.5
Odds-104
Confidence0.073
VenueGlobe Life Field
Game InfoStart: 8:05 PM ET
Pitching MatchupCal Quantrill vs Jackson Kent
Run-total lens: UNDER 7.5 in Texas Rangers vs Washington Nationals. Confidence is driven by weather and wind context, park/run environment, team offense-vs-prevention signals, total-line movement, and supporting run indicators (bullpen/platoon/umpire/pitch mix), plus historical and Savant contact baselines. Key bearing factors here: frozen pregame total pick.
Expanded total context
Pitching Matchup: Cal Quantrill vs Jackson Kent
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.