SCHEDULEDConnecticut Sun at Atlanta Dream · Thu Sep 17, 7:30 PM ET
ATL
83.5% win probability
In an electrifying matchup set for September 17, the Connecticut Sun stand as favorites against the Atlanta Dream, with a hefty 14.5-point spread at -110 odds. The total for the game is pegged at 170.5, leaning towards the OVER, with a projected score of 173.4. The Sun’s potent offense faces off against the Dream, who are averaging 95.6 points over their last eight games, suggesting a high-scoring affair ahead. Expect Connecticut to cover, providing enticing value against the spread with a robust edge of nearly 4 points.
Projected home margin: +10.5 · Gateway Center · DraftKings
Money Line: ATL -120083.5% probability · -9.5% expected value at -1200
Ballz PickATS: CON +14.562.9% probability · +20.1% expected value at -110
O/U: OVER 169.559.7% probability · +14.0% expected value at -110
Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky · Thu Sep 17, 8:00 PM ET
WSH
64.5% win probability
In a thrilling matchup, the Chicago Sky will host the Washington Mystics as both teams vie for a crucial victory on September 17, 2026. The Mystics are projected to edge out the Sky, making them the ATS pick at +4.5. With a total set at 167.5, the savvy bet appears to be on the OVER, projecting a combined score of 170.1. The best price-adjusted value sits with the OVER at -110, reflecting a strong probability of hitting despite recent defensive struggles.
Projected home margin: -3.9 · Wintrust Arena · DraftKings
Money Line: WSH -15564.5% probability · +6.1% expected value at -155
ATS: WSH -3.551.3% probability · -2.1% expected value at -110
Ballz PickO/U: OVER 167.556.4% probability · +7.6% expected value at -110
Los Angeles Sparks at Dallas Wings · Thu Sep 17, 8:00 PM ET
DAL
72.4% win probability
In a thrilling clash on September 17, 2026, the LA Sparks take on the Dallas Wings with the Sparks favored by 7.5 points at -105. While the Wings carry a stronger potential to win straight up, they're projected to edge LA with a 6.26-point lead. Don't expect a scoring frenzy; the O/U line is set at 176.5, with the best value leaning toward the UNDER, projected at 169.125. With a robust `ATS` probability of 54.1%, a bet on LA could still pay off, despite Dallas's favorable odds.
Projected home margin: +6.3 · College Park Center · DraftKings
Money Line: DAL -31072.4% probability · -4.3% expected value at -310
ATS: LA +7.554.1% probability · +5.6% expected value at -105
Ballz PickO/U: UNDER 176.567.8% probability · +29.4% expected value at -110
Phoenix Mercury at Portland Fire · Thu Sep 17, 10:00 PM ET
POR
55.7% win probability
In a thrilling showdown on September 17, the Portland Pirates look to edge out the Phoenix Skylarks in a closely contested battle. With a spread set at 2.5, the Pirates are the favored pick at -115, while the total points over/under is a modest 177.5, leaning towards the UNDER at -110. Portland is favored to win this one by a narrow margin of 1.5 points, offering a solid edge with a 63% probability to cover. Fans can expect a gritty performance as both teams strive for victory!
Projected home margin: +1.5 · Moda Center · DraftKings
Money Line: POR +10255.7% probability · +12.6% expected value at +102
ATS: POR +1.559.9% probability · +14.3% expected value at -110
Ballz PickO/U: UNDER 176.562.3% probability · +17.9% expected value at -112
Las Vegas Aces at Seattle Storm · Thu Sep 17, 10:00 PM ET
LV
71.3% win probability
In a highly anticipated matchup on September 17, 2026, the Seattle Storm are set to clash with the Las Vegas Aces. With the Aces favored by 8.5 points and boasting a solid ATS probability of 71.3%, sharp bettors see value in taking Seattle at -105. The game leans toward the UNDER at a total of 173.5, with projections suggesting a lower scoring contest of 171.875. Keep an eye on Seattle’s ability to defy the odds in hopes of pulling off the upset against Las Vegas!
Projected home margin: -5.9 · Climate Pledge Arena · DraftKings
Money Line: LV -39571.3% probability · -10.7% expected value at -395
Ballz PickATS: SEA +8.558.6% probability · +17.1% expected value at +100
O/U: UNDER 173.554.0% probability · +3.2% expected value at -110
