SportzBallz NFL Desk
Football Picks
Independent NFL model picks, built for the weekly slate.
Ballz Picks ā Every Game
One highest expected-value selection per game across moneyline, spread and total. Selection, line, odds and probability freeze at kickoff. Tracking started 2026-09-16; completed games without saved pregame picks are excluded.
Expected value = win probability Ć payout ā loss probability Ć stake. Positive Value Only skips zero/negative EV. The $1,000 weekly budget is divided across scheduled games and frozen at the first kickoff. Allocated includes pregame plans; wagered includes locked picks. Profit and ROI use settled wagers only. Expected profit is shown for that same settled sample.
* Spread/total prices use an assumed ā110 when the feed has no price. Push probability is used when supplied; otherwise EV assumes zero pushes. These are model estimates, not calibrated guarantees. Actual pushes return the stake.
2026-REG season
Ballz Every Game ā Cumulative Profit
Cumulative profit Ā· strategy-specific stakes Ā· settled results only
Every Game ā $100Positive Value Only ā $100Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000
| Strategy | WāLāP | Pending | Allocated | Wagered | Profit | ROI | Avg probability | Expected profit (settled) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every Game ā $100 | 43ā45ā2 | 15 | $10,500.00 | $9,000.00 | $-275.22 | -3.06% | 66.4% | $+2,631.26 |
| Positive Value Only ā $100 | 40ā45ā2 | 15 | $10,200.00 | $8,700.00 | $-547.95 | -6.3% | 66.8% | $+2,636.88 |
| Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000 | 43ā45ā2 | 15 | $7,000.00 | $5,928.57 | $-166.98 | -2.82% | 66.4% | $+1,739.34 |
Weekly performance
| Week / strategy | WāLāP | Pending | Allocated | Wagered | Profit | ROI | Avg probability | Expected profit (settled) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 Ā· Every Game ā $100 | 0ā0ā0 | 14 | $1,400.00 | $0.00 | $+0.00 | ā | 69.4% | $+0.00 |
| Week 8 Ā· Positive Value Only ā $100 | 0ā0ā0 | 14 | $1,400.00 | $0.00 | $+0.00 | ā | 69.4% | $+0.00 |
| Week 8 Ā· Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000 | 0ā0ā0 | 14 | $1,000.00 | $0.00 | $+0.00 | ā | 69.4% | $+0.00 |
| Week 7 Ā· Every Game ā $100 | 9ā4ā0 | 1 | $1,400.00 | $1,300.00 | $+513.20 | 39.48% | 67.3% | $+408.09 |
| Week 7 Ā· Positive Value Only ā $100 | 9ā4ā0 | 1 | $1,400.00 | $1,300.00 | $+513.20 | 39.48% | 67.3% | $+408.09 |
| Week 7 Ā· Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000 | 9ā4ā0 | 1 | $1,000.00 | $928.57 | $+366.59 | 39.48% | 67.3% | $+291.49 |
| Week 6 Ā· Every Game ā $100 | 3ā11ā0 | 0 | $1,400.00 | $1,400.00 | $-825.59 | -58.97% | 68.9% | $+466.46 |
| Week 6 Ā· Positive Value Only ā $100 | 3ā11ā0 | 0 | $1,400.00 | $1,400.00 | $-825.59 | -58.97% | 68.9% | $+466.46 |
| Week 6 Ā· Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000 | 3ā11ā0 | 0 | $1,000.00 | $1,000.00 | $-589.69 | -58.97% | 68.9% | $+333.19 |
| Week 5 Ā· Every Game ā $100 | 11ā3ā1 | 0 | $1,500.00 | $1,500.00 | $+789.70 | 52.65% | 64.0% | $+401.29 |
| Week 5 Ā· Positive Value Only ā $100 | 10ā3ā1 | 0 | $1,400.00 | $1,400.00 | $+698.79 | 49.91% | 64.9% | $+403.08 |
| Week 5 Ā· Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000 | 11ā3ā1 | 0 | $1,000.00 | $1,000.00 | $+526.44 | 52.64% | 64.0% | $+267.53 |
| Week 4 Ā· Every Game ā $100 | 4ā11ā1 | 0 | $1,600.00 | $1,600.00 | $-713.27 | -44.58% | 65.2% | $+487.45 |
| Week 4 Ā· Positive Value Only ā $100 | 4ā11ā1 | 0 | $1,600.00 | $1,600.00 | $-713.27 | -44.58% | 65.2% | $+487.45 |
| Week 4 Ā· Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000 | 4ā11ā1 | 0 | $1,000.00 | $1,000.00 | $-445.79 | -44.58% | 65.2% | $+304.66 |
| Week 3 Ā· Every Game ā $100 | 9ā7ā0 | 0 | $1,600.00 | $1,600.00 | $+161.67 | 10.1% | 64.7% | $+415.20 |
| Week 3 Ā· Positive Value Only ā $100 | 8ā7ā0 | 0 | $1,500.00 | $1,500.00 | $+70.76 | 4.72% | 65.6% | $+415.76 |
| Week 3 Ā· Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000 | 9ā7ā0 | 0 | $1,000.00 | $1,000.00 | $+101.05 | 10.1% | 64.7% | $+259.50 |
| Week 2 Ā· Every Game ā $100 | 7ā9ā0 | 0 | $1,600.00 | $1,600.00 | $-200.93 | -12.56% | 65.9% | $+452.77 |
| Week 2 Ā· Positive Value Only ā $100 | 6ā9ā0 | 0 | $1,500.00 | $1,500.00 | $-291.84 | -19.46% | 66.9% | $+456.03 |
| Week 2 Ā· Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000 | 7ā9ā0 | 0 | $1,000.00 | $1,000.00 | $-125.58 | -12.56% | 65.9% | $+282.98 |
| Week 1 Ā· Every Game ā $100 | 0ā0ā0 | 0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $+0.00 | ā | ā | $+0.00 |
| Week 1 Ā· Positive Value Only ā $100 | 0ā0ā0 | 0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $+0.00 | ā | ā | $+0.00 |
| Week 1 Ā· Equal Weekly Budget ā $1,000 | 0ā0ā0 | 0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $+0.00 | ā | ā | $+0.00 |
Week 8 Ā· 14/14 games tracked
0 games have no saved pregame selection. Missing or late-added budget slots stay unspent.
| Game | Ballz pick | Odds | Win probability | Break-even | Edge | EV / $100 | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR at GB | UNDER 47.5 Total | -110 * | 78.8% | 52.4% | +26.4 pp | $+50.44 | Pregame | PENDING |
| ARI at DAL | UNDER 53.5 Total | -110 * | 65.2% | 52.4% | +12.8 pp | $+24.45 | Pregame | PENDING |
| ATL at TB | UNDER 46.5 Total | -110 * | 74.1% | 52.4% | +21.7 pp | $+41.37 | Pregame | PENDING |
| BAL at BUF | BUF -3.5 Spread | -110 * | 67.0% | 52.4% | +14.6 pp | $+27.93 | Pregame | PENDING |
| CLE at PIT | PIT -3.5 Spread | -110 * | 67.5% | 52.4% | +15.1 pp | $+28.92 | Pregame | PENDING |
| IND at JAX | JAX -7.5 Spread | -110 * | 63.0% | 52.4% | +10.6 pp | $+20.27 | Pregame | PENDING |
| LV at NYJ | UNDER 44.5 Total | -110 * | 66.5% | 52.4% | +14.2 pp | $+27.03 | Pregame | PENDING |
| MIN at DET | UNDER 46.5 Total | -110 * | 78.0% | 52.4% | +25.6 pp | $+48.87 | Pregame | PENDING |
| TEN at CIN | CIN -10 Spread | -110 * | 76.9% | 52.4% | +24.5 pp | $+46.83 | Pregame | PENDING |
| LAC at LA | LA -6.5 Spread | -110 * | 67.0% | 52.4% | +14.6 pp | $+27.93 | Pregame | PENDING |
| KC at DEN | UNDER 41.5 Total | -110 * | 78.0% | 52.4% | +25.6 pp | $+48.91 | Pregame | PENDING |
| NE at MIA | UNDER 44.5 Total | -110 * | 55.4% | 52.4% | +3.0 pp | $+5.73 | Pregame | PENDING |
| PHI at WAS | PHI +160 Moneyline | +160 | 62.3% | 38.5% | +23.8 pp | $+61.93 | Pregame | PENDING |
| CHI at SEA | UNDER 46.5 Total | -110 * | 72.4% | 52.4% | +20.0 pp | $+38.20 | Pregame | PENDING |
Week 7 Ā· 14/14 games tracked
0 games have no saved pregame selection. Missing or late-added budget slots stay unspent.
| Game | Ballz pick | Odds | Win probability | Break-even | Edge | EV / $100 | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE at CHI | UNDER 50.5 Total | -110 * | 68.2% | 52.4% | +15.8 pp | $+30.20 | Locked | LOSS |
| PIT at NO | PIT -162 Moneyline | -162 | 70.9% | 61.8% | +9.1 pp | $+14.65 | Locked | WIN |
| CIN at BAL | BAL +124 Moneyline | +124 | 66.7% | 44.6% | +22.1 pp | $+49.48 | Locked | LOSS |
| CLE at TEN | CLE -130 Moneyline | -130 | 67.3% | 56.5% | +10.8 pp | $+19.03 | Locked | WIN |
| IND at MIN | MIN -7 Spread | -110 * | 65.4% | 52.4% | +13.0 pp | $+24.91 | Locked | LOSS |
| MIA at NYJ | MIA +180 Moneyline | +180 | 58.4% | 35.7% | +22.7 pp | $+63.44 | Locked | WIN |
| NYG at HOU | OVER 42.5 Total | -110 * | 57.8% | 52.4% | +5.4 pp | $+10.33 | Locked | WIN |
| SF at ATL | SF -142 Moneyline | -142 | 80.5% | 58.7% | +21.8 pp | $+37.16 | Locked | LOSS |
| TB at CAR | TB +140 Moneyline | +140 | 50.3% | 41.7% | +8.6 pp | $+20.65 | Locked | WIN |
| DEN at ARI | DEN -4.5 Spread | -110 * | 69.8% | 52.4% | +17.4 pp | $+33.31 | Locked | WIN |
| GB at DET | UNDER 55.5 Total | -110 * | 72.7% | 52.4% | +20.3 pp | $+38.81 | Locked | WIN |
| LA at LV | LA -3.5 Spread | -110 * | 72.0% | 52.4% | +19.7 pp | $+37.55 | Locked | WIN |
| KC at SEA | UNDER 42.5 Total | -110 * | 67.3% | 52.4% | +15.0 pp | $+28.58 | Locked | WIN |
| DAL at PHI | PHI +180 Moneyline | +180 | 75.2% | 35.7% | +39.5 pp | $+110.64 | Pregame | PENDING |
Week 6 Ā· 14/14 games tracked
0 games have no saved pregame selection. Missing or late-added budget slots stay unspent.
| Game | Ballz pick | Odds | Win probability | Break-even | Edge | EV / $100 | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA at DEN | OVER 40.5 Total | -110 * | 56.7% | 52.4% | +4.3 pp | $+8.28 | Locked | LOSS |
| HOU at JAX | JAX -142 Moneyline | -142 | 67.2% | 58.7% | +8.6 pp | $+14.58 | Locked | LOSS |
| BAL at CLE | BAL -3 Spread | -110 * | 69.1% | 52.4% | +16.7 pp | $+31.86 | Locked | LOSS |
| CAR at PHI | PHI +136 Moneyline | +136 | 85.3% | 42.4% | +42.9 pp | $+101.28 | Locked | LOSS |
| CHI at ATL | UNDER 52.5 Total | -110 * | 64.1% | 52.4% | +11.7 pp | $+22.43 | Locked | LOSS |
| NO at NYG | NYG +1.5 Spread | -110 * | 67.3% | 52.4% | +14.9 pp | $+28.42 | Locked | LOSS |
| NYJ at NE | NE -7.5 Spread | -110 * | 78.0% | 52.4% | +25.6 pp | $+48.89 | Locked | LOSS |
| PIT at TB | OVER 38.5 Total | -110 * | 66.2% | 52.4% | +13.8 pp | $+26.38 | Locked | WIN |
| TEN at IND | IND -6.5 Spread | -110 * | 67.8% | 52.4% | +15.4 pp | $+29.42 | Locked | LOSS |
| ARI at LA | LA -12.5 Spread | -110 * | 60.2% | 52.4% | +7.9 pp | $+15.02 | Locked | LOSS |
| BUF at LV | BUF -5.5 Spread | -110 * | 78.0% | 52.4% | +25.6 pp | $+48.89 | Locked | LOSS |
| LAC at KC | UNDER 41.5 Total | -110 * | 60.7% | 52.4% | +8.3 pp | $+15.86 | Locked | WIN |
| DAL at GB | GB -108 Moneyline | -108 | 74.9% | 51.9% | +23.0 pp | $+44.25 | Locked | WIN |
| WAS at SF | SF -7.5 Spread | -110 * | 68.6% | 52.4% | +16.2 pp | $+30.89 | Locked | LOSS |
Week 5 Ā· 15/15 games tracked
0 games have no saved pregame selection. Missing or late-added budget slots stay unspent.
| Game | Ballz pick | Odds | Win probability | Break-even | Edge | EV / $100 | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB at DAL | TB +9.5 Spread | -110 * | 67.0% | 52.4% | +14.6 pp | $+27.93 | Locked | WIN |
| PHI at JAX | PHI +8.5 Spread | -110 * | 70.3% | 52.4% | +17.9 pp | $+34.27 | Locked | WIN |
| CHI at GB | GB +1.5 Spread | -110 * | 56.0% | 52.4% | +3.6 pp | $+6.95 | Locked | WIN |
| CIN at MIA | MIA +7 Spread | -110 * | 58.0% | 52.4% | +5.6 pp | $+10.73 | Locked | PUSH |
| CLE at NYJ | CLE +120 Moneyline | +120 | 61.6% | 45.5% | +16.1 pp | $+35.43 | Locked | LOSS |
| HOU at TEN | OVER 37.5 Total | -110 * | 71.1% | 52.4% | +18.8 pp | $+35.81 | Locked | LOSS |
| IND at PIT | UNDER 41.5 Total | -110 * | 60.3% | 52.4% | +7.9 pp | $+15.12 | Locked | LOSS |
| LV at NE | NE -3.5 Spread | -110 * | 81.3% | 52.4% | +28.9 pp | $+55.13 | Locked | WIN |
| MIN at NO | MIN -142 Moneyline | -142 | 82.8% | 58.7% | +24.1 pp | $+41.02 | Locked | WIN |
| NYG at WAS | NYG +3.5 Spread | -110 * | 51.4% | 52.4% | -0.9 pp | $-1.80 | Locked | WIN |
| DEN at LAC | DEN -3.5 Spread | -110 * | 57.2% | 52.4% | +4.8 pp | $+9.12 | Locked | WIN |
| DET at ARI | DET -5.5 Spread | -110 * | 59.4% | 52.4% | +7.0 pp | $+13.42 | Locked | WIN |
| SF at SEA | OVER 46.5 Total | -110 * | 57.0% | 52.4% | +4.6 pp | $+8.86 | Locked | WIN |
| BAL at ATL | BAL +142 Moneyline | +142 | 71.3% | 41.3% | +30.0 pp | $+72.55 | Locked | WIN |
| BUF at LA | BUF +150 Moneyline | +150 | 54.7% | 40.0% | +14.7 pp | $+36.75 | Locked | WIN |
Week 4 Ā· 16/16 games tracked
0 games have no saved pregame selection. Missing or late-added budget slots stay unspent.
| Game | Ballz pick | Odds | Win probability | Break-even | Edge | EV / $100 | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT at CLE | UNDER 38.5 Total | -110 * | 69.9% | 52.4% | +17.6 pp | $+33.52 | Locked | LOSS |
| IND at WAS | WAS +180 Moneyline | +180 | 62.7% | 35.7% | +27.0 pp | $+75.48 | Locked | LOSS |
| ARI at NYG | NYG +114 Moneyline | +114 | 60.0% | 46.7% | +13.3 pp | $+28.40 | Locked | WIN |
| DAL at HOU | HOU -148 Moneyline | -148 | 75.6% | 59.7% | +15.9 pp | $+26.71 | Locked | LOSS |
| GB at TB | OVER 38.5 Total | -110 * | 67.0% | 52.4% | +14.6 pp | $+27.97 | Locked | LOSS |
| JAX at CIN | UNDER 51.5 Total | -110 * | 57.0% | 52.4% | +4.7 pp | $+8.89 | Locked | WIN |
| LA at PHI | PHI +170 Moneyline | +170 | 56.3% | 37.0% | +19.3 pp | $+52.12 | Locked | LOSS |
| NE at BUF | BUF -7 Spread | -110 * | 55.7% | 52.4% | +3.4 pp | $+6.41 | Locked | LOSS |
| NYJ at CHI | CHI -3.5 Spread | -110 * | 79.9% | 52.4% | +27.5 pp | $+52.48 | Locked | WIN |
| TEN at BAL | BAL -11.5 Spread | -110 * | 75.1% | 52.4% | +22.7 pp | $+43.41 | Locked | LOSS |
| MIA at MIN | UNDER 38.5 Total | -110 * | 60.2% | 52.4% | +7.9 pp | $+15.00 | Locked | WIN |
| DEN at SF | DEN +3 Spread | -110 * | 53.2% | 52.4% | +0.8 pp | $+1.49 | Locked | LOSS |
| KC at LV | UNDER 47.5 Total | -110 * | 76.9% | 52.4% | +24.5 pp | $+46.81 | Locked | LOSS |
| LAC at SEA | SEA -7 Spread | -110 * | 71.1% | 52.4% | +18.7 pp | $+35.68 | Locked | PUSH |
| DET at CAR | DET -3.5 Spread | -110 * | 67.0% | 52.4% | +14.6 pp | $+27.93 | Locked | LOSS |
| ATL at NO | UNDER 47.5 Total | -110 * | 55.1% | 52.4% | +2.7 pp | $+5.15 | Locked | LOSS |
Week 3 Ā· 16/16 games tracked
0 games have no saved pregame selection. Missing or late-added budget slots stay unspent.
| Game | Ballz pick | Odds | Win probability | Break-even | Edge | EV / $100 | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL at GB | GB -4.5 Spread | -110 * | 68.6% | 52.4% | +16.2 pp | $+30.89 | Locked | LOSS |
| CAR at CLE | CLE +2.5 Spread | -110 * | 62.2% | 52.4% | +9.8 pp | $+18.71 | Locked | WIN |
| CIN at PIT | PIT +150 Moneyline | +150 | 55.0% | 40.0% | +15.0 pp | $+37.42 | Locked | WIN |
| HOU at IND | HOU -122 Moneyline | -122 | 71.5% | 55.0% | +16.5 pp | $+30.05 | Locked | LOSS |
| KC at MIA | UNDER 45.5 Total | -110 * | 60.5% | 52.4% | +8.1 pp | $+15.42 | Locked | WIN |
| LAC at BUF | BUF -7 Spread | -110 * | 74.2% | 52.4% | +21.8 pp | $+41.64 | Locked | WIN |
| NE at JAX | NE +136 Moneyline | +136 | 53.6% | 42.4% | +11.3 pp | $+26.57 | Locked | LOSS |
| NYJ at DET | DET -6.5 Spread | -110 * | 79.7% | 52.4% | +27.3 pp | $+52.10 | Locked | WIN |
| SEA at WAS | SEA -8.5 Spread | -110 * | 58.9% | 52.4% | +6.5 pp | $+12.35 | Locked | LOSS |
| TEN at NYG | NYG -130 Moneyline | -130 | 80.1% | 56.5% | +23.6 pp | $+41.75 | Locked | WIN |
| ARI at SF | SF -7.5 Spread | -110 * | 69.3% | 52.4% | +16.9 pp | $+32.34 | Locked | LOSS |
| MIN at TB | MIN -112 Moneyline | -112 | 67.3% | 52.8% | +14.5 pp | $+27.39 | Locked | WIN |
| BAL at DAL | UNDER 53.5 Total | -110 * | 61.8% | 52.4% | +9.5 pp | $+18.06 | Locked | LOSS |
| LV at NO | UNDER 43.5 Total | -110 * | 61.1% | 52.4% | +8.7 pp | $+16.59 | Locked | LOSS |
| LA at DEN | DEN +1.5 Spread | -110 * | 60.0% | 52.4% | +7.6 pp | $+14.49 | Locked | WIN |
| PHI at CHI | UNDER 41.5 Total | -110 * | 52.1% | 52.4% | -0.3 pp | $-0.56 | Locked | WIN |
Week 2 Ā· 16/16 games tracked
0 games have no saved pregame selection. Missing or late-added budget slots stay unspent.
| Game | Ballz pick | Odds | Win probability | Break-even | Edge | EV / $100 | Status | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET at BUF | UNDER 54.5 Total | -110 * | 62.1% | 52.4% | +9.7 pp | $+18.50 | Locked | LOSS |
| CAR at ATL | ATL +130 Moneyline | +130 | 70.3% | 43.5% | +26.8 pp | $+61.71 | Locked | LOSS |
| CIN at HOU | HOU -142 Moneyline | -142 | 73.2% | 58.7% | +14.6 pp | $+24.82 | Locked | LOSS |
| CLE at TB | OVER 41.5 Total | -110 * | 50.7% | 52.4% | -1.7 pp | $-3.27 | Locked | WIN |
| GB at NYJ | GB -3.5 Spread | -110 * | 69.8% | 52.4% | +17.4 pp | $+33.31 | Locked | LOSS |
| MIN at CHI | MIN +180 Moneyline | +180 | 51.8% | 35.7% | +16.1 pp | $+45.10 | Locked | WIN |
| NO at BAL | BAL -8.5 Spread | -110 * | 65.2% | 52.4% | +12.8 pp | $+24.40 | Locked | LOSS |
| PHI at TEN | PHI -7 Spread | -110 * | 79.5% | 52.4% | +27.1 pp | $+51.70 | Locked | LOSS |
| PIT at NE | OVER 41.5 Total | -110 * | 62.6% | 52.4% | +10.3 pp | $+19.60 | Locked | LOSS |
| JAX at DEN | DEN -155 Moneyline | -155 | 67.9% | 60.8% | +7.1 pp | $+11.64 | Locked | WIN |
| LV at LAC | UNDER 43.5 Total | -110 * | 73.7% | 52.4% | +21.3 pp | $+40.72 | Locked | WIN |
| MIA at SF | OVER 44.5 Total | -110 * | 58.1% | 52.4% | +5.7 pp | $+10.94 | Locked | WIN |
| SEA at ARI | SEA -3.5 Spread | -110 * | 78.8% | 52.4% | +26.5 pp | $+50.51 | Locked | WIN |
| WAS at DAL | WAS +3.5 Spread | -110 * | 56.0% | 52.4% | +3.6 pp | $+6.95 | Locked | LOSS |
| IND at KC | KC -6 Spread | -110 * | 64.1% | 52.4% | +11.7 pp | $+22.35 | Locked | LOSS |
| NYG at LA | LA -7 Spread | -110 * | 70.1% | 52.4% | +17.7 pp | $+33.79 | Locked | WIN |
Week 1 Ā· 0/16 games tracked
16 games have no saved pregame selection. Missing or late-added budget slots stay unspent.
| Game | Ballz pick | Odds | Win probability | Break-even | Edge | EV / $100 | Status | Result |
|---|
Probability calibration
Average prediction versus actual win rate, using settled wins/losses only. Pushes are excluded; predictions are conditional on no push. Small samples are inconclusive.
| Predicted range | Games | Average predicted | Actual wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0%ā50% | 0 | ā | ā |
| 50%ā60% | 24 | 55.5% | 66.7% |
| 60%ā70% | 37 | 65.2% | 32.4% |
| 70%ā80% | 22 | 74.4% | 54.5% |
| 80%ā90% | 5 | 82.0% | 60.0% |
| 90%ā100% | 0 | ā | ā |
All Picks ā Historical Trends
Cumulative profit Ā· $100 per pick Ā· settled results only
MoneylineSpread / Run lineOver / Under
Ballz Picks ā Historical Trends
Cumulative profit Ā· $100 per pick Ā· settled results only
Ballz Pick of the DayBallz Pick of the Week
Each line starts with its first recorded settled result. Older All Picks history may contain moneyline only; Ballz history begins with saved official selections.
Official Ballz Picks
Saved daily and weekly selections. Results use the original locked wager and odds, with a hypothetical $100 stake per pick. Pending picks do not affect profit or ROI. History begins when official selection tracking started; earlier model rankings are not backfilled.
Ballz Pick of the Day
Record (WāLāP)6ā10ā0
Pending0
Win rate37.5%
Net profit$-314.36
ROI-19.6%
| Period | Matchup | Official wager | Result | P/L | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | MIA at NYJ | MIA +180 Moneyline Ā· +180 | WIN Locked | $+180.00 | $-314.36 |
| 2026-10-22 | NE at CHI | UNDER 50.5 Total Ā· -110 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-494.36 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR at PHI | PHI +136 Moneyline Ā· +136 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-394.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | SEA at DEN | OVER 40.5 Total Ā· -110 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-294.36 |
| 2026-10-11 | BAL at ATL | BAL +142 Moneyline Ā· +142 | WIN Locked | $+142.00 | $-194.36 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB at DAL | TB +9.5 Spread Ā· -110 | WIN Locked | $+90.91 | $-336.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | IND at WAS | WAS +180 Moneyline Ā· +180 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-427.27 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT at CLE | UNDER 38.5 Total Ā· -110 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-327.27 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ at DET | DET -6.5 Spread Ā· -110 | WIN Locked | $+90.91 | $-227.27 |
| 2026-09-24 | ATL at GB | GB -4.5 Spread Ā· -110 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-318.18 |
| 2026-09-21 | NYG at LA | LA -7 Spread Ā· -110 | WIN Locked | $+90.91 | $-218.18 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR at ATL | ATL +130 Moneyline Ā· +130 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-309.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | DET at BUF | UNDER 54.5 Total Ā· -110 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-209.09 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA at LV | MIA +142 Moneyline Ā· +142 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-109.09 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF at LA | OVER 47.5 Total Ā· -110 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-9.09 |
| 2026-09-09 | NE at SEA | UNDER 44.5 Total Ā· -110 | WIN Locked | $+90.91 | $+90.91 |
Ballz Pick of the Week
Record (WāLāP)2ā4ā0
Pending2
Win rate33.3%
Net profit$-167.09
ROI-27.9%
| Period | Matchup | Official wager | Result | P/L | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Ā· Week 8 | PHI at WAS | PHI +160 Moneyline Ā· +160 | PENDING Pregame | Pending | $-167.09 |
| 2026 Ā· Week 7 | DAL at PHI | PHI +180 Moneyline Ā· +180 | PENDING Pregame | Pending | $-167.09 |
| 2026 Ā· Week 6 | CAR at PHI | PHI +136 Moneyline Ā· +136 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-167.09 |
| 2026 Ā· Week 5 | BAL at ATL | BAL +142 Moneyline Ā· +142 | WIN Locked | $+142.00 | $-67.09 |
| 2026 Ā· Week 4 | IND at WAS | WAS +180 Moneyline Ā· +180 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-209.09 |
| 2026 Ā· Week 3 | NYJ at DET | DET -6.5 Spread Ā· -110 | WIN Locked | $+90.91 | $-109.09 |
| 2026 Ā· Week 2 | CAR at ATL | ATL +130 Moneyline Ā· +130 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-200.00 |
| 2026 Ā· Week 1 | MIA at LV | MIA +142 Moneyline Ā· +142 | LOSS Locked | $-100.00 | $-100.00 |
Performance Dashboard
Moneyline 66-39 Ā· 62.9% ATS 48-53-5 Ā· 47.5% O/U 53-53-0 Ā· 50.0%
| Edition | Moneyline | ATS | O/U | Pending ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 8 | 0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 14 |
| 2026 Week 7 | 9-4 | 7-6-0 | 9-4-0 | 1 |
| 2026 Week 6 | 7-7 | 4-10-0 | 6-8-0 | 0 |
| 2026 Week 5 | 11-3 | 12-2-1 | 5-10-0 | 1 |
| 2026 Week 4 | 8-8 | 4-10-2 | 8-8-0 | 0 |
| 2026 Week 3 | 10-6 | 8-7-1 | 9-7-0 | 0 |
| 2026 Week 2 | 11-5 | 5-11-0 | 9-7-0 | 0 |
| 2026 Week 1 | 10-6 | 8-7-1 | 7-9-0 | 0 |