Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 3:05 PM ET
Odds----
Confidence1.000 (data points: 7.07/7.07)
PitchingPayton Tolle vs Noah Cameron
VenueFenway Park
On a crisp September afternoon at Fenway Park, the Boston Red Sox are poised to take on the Kansas City Royals, with the moneyline reflecting a solid shift in favor of the home team, moving from -181 to -192. Payton Tolle takes the mound for Kansas City, while Noah Cameron is set to counter for Boston, both seeking to shake off recent inconsistencies. The Red Sox, riding a wave of momentum, have stacked moderate signals that suggest a favorable matchup against a Royals lineup that has struggled offensively. Though starting lineups were still under wraps at press time, the bullpen fatigue appears evenly matched, which could play a crucial role late in the game. With clear skies overhead, the stage is set for Boston to capitalize on its home-field advantage, making them a strong play for those looking to back the Red Sox in this contest. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=1.000 (data points: 7.07/7.07); odds=----; pitching=Payton Tolle vs Noah Cameron; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=Cloudy, 67°F, 2 mph, In From RF; umpire=Home Plate: Roberto Ortiz; First Base: Alex MacKay; Second Base: Alan Porter; Third Base: Jim Wolf; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Boston Red Sox: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Boston Red Sox went 2-2. Kansas City Royals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Kansas City Royals went 2-3.; signal-count even (1-1); Boston Red Sox favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Kansas City Royals favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: Cloudy, 67°F, 2 mph, In From RF
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Roberto Ortiz; First Base: Alex MacKay; Second Base: Alan Porter; Third Base: Jim Wolf
Boston Red Sox Injuries: Adley Rutschman (Active), Alec Gamboa (Active), Andruw Monasterio (Active), Aroldis Chapman (Active), Brayan Bello (Active), Caleb Durbin (Active), Connor Wong (Active), Erik Miller (Active)
Kansas City Royals Injuries: Alex Lange (Active), Anthony Gose (Active), Bobby Witt Jr. (Active), Carter Jensen (Active), Connor Thomas (Active), Craig Kimbrel (Active), Daniel Lynch IV (Active), Easton McGee (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Boston Red Sox: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Boston Red Sox went 2-2. Kansas City Royals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Kansas City Royals went 2-3.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 2
New York Yankees over New York Mets
WIN
New York Yankees vs New York Mets prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 1:35 PM ET
Odds-180
Confidence1.000 (data points: 6.2/6.2)
PitchingCam Schlittler vs Christian Scott
VenueYankee Stadium
At Yankee Stadium on a warm September afternoon, the New York Yankees are poised to take on their crosstown rivals, the New York Mets, with a moneyline set at -186, reflecting a slight uptick from -185, suggesting a growing confidence in the home side. Cam Schlittler takes the mound for the Yankees, bringing a promising arm against the Mets’ Christian Scott, who has struggled to find his rhythm. Both teams have not yet revealed their starting lineups, but the Yankees’ offense has been clicking of late, while the Mets continue to battle inconsistency. The bullpens present a mostly even matchup, but the Yankees’ depth may prove advantageous late in the game. Weather conditions are favorable with a temperature of 76.7°F, winds gently blowing out to center field at 5.1 mph, and humidity hovering at a sticky 87%. With the stakes high in this city showdown, expect the Yankees to leverage their home-field advantage as they look to secure a win. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=1.000 (data points: 6.2/6.2); odds=-180; pitching=Cam Schlittler vs Christian Scott; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=Rain, 72°F, 5 mph, In From LF; umpire=Home Plate: Willie Traynor; First Base: Jansen Visconti; Second Base: Nick Mahrley; Third Base: Lance Barrett; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=New York Yankees: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), New York Yankees went 1-1. New York Mets: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), New York Mets went 2-0.; signal-count even (1-1); New York Yankees favored metrics=No model signal list available.; New York Mets favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: Rain, 72°F, 5 mph, In From LF
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Willie Traynor; First Base: Jansen Visconti; Second Base: Nick Mahrley; Third Base: Lance Barrett
New York Yankees Injuries: Aaron Judge (Active), Ali Sánchez (Active), Amed Rosario (Active), Anthony Volpe (Active), Austin Wells (Active), Ben Rice (Active), Bradley Hanner (Active), Brent Headrick (Active)
New York Mets Injuries: A.J. Ewing (Active), Austin Warren (Active), Bo Bichette (Active), Brett Baty (Active), Carson Benge (Active), Christian Scott (Active), Christopher Morel (Active), Cristian Pache (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: New York Yankees: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), New York Yankees went 1-1. New York Mets: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), New York Mets went 2-0.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 3
San Diego Padres over San Francisco Giants
WIN
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 7:20 PM ET
Odds-143
Confidence1.000 (data points: 7.35/7.35)
PitchingNick Pivetta vs Logan Webb
VenueOracle Park
Under the bright lights of Oracle Park, the San Diego Padres are poised to take on the San Francisco Giants, with the visitors favored at -132 after the moneyline shifted from -126. Nick Pivetta toes the rubber for San Diego, hoping to build on his recent form against Logan Webb, who has had his share of ups and downs this season. As the wind gusts out to right field at nearly 18 mph, the park's dimensions could play a significant role in run production, which tends to be stifled in cooler temperatures like today's 68.9°F. Both bullpens appear evenly matched, with no significant fatigue reported, although the absence of announced starting lineups adds an element of uncertainty. With confidence in the Padres' edge stemming from a solid model backing, this contest promises to be tightly contested, even as the market leans toward San Diego. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=1.000 (data points: 7.35/7.35); odds=-143; pitching=Nick Pivetta vs Logan Webb; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=Sunny, 68°F, 19 mph, Out To CF; umpire=Home Plate: Junior Valentine; First Base: Rob Drake; Second Base: Stu Scheurwater; Third Base: Jordan Baker; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=San Diego Padres: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), San Diego Padres went 4-0. San Francisco Giants: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), San Francisco Giants went 3-2.; signal-count even (1-1); San Diego Padres favored metrics=No model signal list available.; San Francisco Giants favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: Sunny, 68°F, 19 mph, Out To CF
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Junior Valentine; First Base: Rob Drake; Second Base: Stu Scheurwater; Third Base: Jordan Baker
San Diego Padres Injuries: Adrian Morejon (Active), Austin Hays (Active), Bradgley Rodriguez (Active), Casey Mize (Active), David Morgan (Active), Dustin Harris (Active), Ethan Salas (Active), Fernando Tatis Jr. (Active)
San Francisco Giants Injuries: Andrew Knizner (Active), Anthony Molina (Active), Blade Tidwell (Active), Brett Harris (Active), Bryce Eldridge (Active), Carson Seymour (Active), Cesar Perdomo (Active), Christian Koss (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: San Diego Padres: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), San Diego Padres went 4-0. San Francisco Giants: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), San Francisco Giants went 3-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 4
Washington Nationals over Los Angeles Angels
WIN
Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 1:35 PM ET
Odds-136
Confidence0.538 (data points: 9.985/12.985)
PitchingRiley Cornelio vs Grayson Rodriguez
VenueNationals Park
The Washington Nationals will host the Los Angeles Angels at Nationals Park, where Jake Irvin takes the mound against Grayson Rodriguez in what promises to be an intriguing battle. Irvin, with a solid command, has the edge in recent form, while Rodriguez, despite his potential, has struggled with consistency. The Nationals, priced at -123, have seen their moneyline shift from -131, indicating a slight market pullback in favor of the Angels. With temperatures hovering around 83°F and a gentle 4.1 mph wind blowing out to right field, the conditions could favor hitters if the lineups align, though they have yet to be announced. Both bullpens appear evenly matched, which could prove crucial in a close contest. As the game unfolds, it will be interesting to see if the Nationals can capitalize on their home advantage, especially with the betting landscape suggesting a measured confidence in their chances. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.538 (data points: 9.985/12.985); odds=-136; pitching=Riley Cornelio vs Grayson Rodriguez; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=81.4°F, Wind 2.0 mph W (out to RF), Humidity 75%, P.O.P. 8% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Todd Tichenor; First Base: Ryan Additon; Second Base: Clint Vondrak; Third Base: Steven Jaschinski; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Washington Nationals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Washington Nationals went 2-2. Los Angeles Angels: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Los Angeles Angels went 1-1.; signal-count even (1-1); Washington Nationals favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Los Angeles Angels favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: 81.4°F, Wind 2.0 mph W (out to RF), Humidity 75%, P.O.P. 8% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Todd Tichenor; First Base: Ryan Additon; Second Base: Clint Vondrak; Third Base: Steven Jaschinski
Washington Nationals Injuries: Abimelec Ortiz (Active), Andrés Chaparro (Active), Andrew Alvarez (Active), Andrew Pinckney (Active), Brad Lord (Active), Brady House (Active), CJ Abrams (Active), Cade Cavalli (Active)
Los Angeles Angels Injuries: Adam Frazier (Active), Ben Joyce (Active), Blake Weiman (Active), Christian Moore (Active), Denzer Guzman (Active), Grayson Rodriguez (Active), José Fermin (Active), Jose Siri (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Washington Nationals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Washington Nationals went 2-2. Los Angeles Angels: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Los Angeles Angels went 1-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 5
Chicago Cubs over Pittsburgh Pirates
LOSS
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 2:20 PM ET
As the Chicago Cubs prepare to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Wrigley Field, the betting line has settled at -148 for the Cubs, reflecting a slight shift from -149. The matchup features veteran left-hander Matthew Boyd for Chicago, who looks to harness the favorable conditions of a 70.5°F evening with a gentle 9.4 mph wind blowing in from right field. Conversely, the Pirates counter with young righty Bubba Chandler, who faces a Cubs lineup that, while not yet announced, is expected to capitalize on their recent form. With a market confidence of 0.836, the Cubs carry a distinct edge, particularly in the bullpen where they boast a freshness advantage of about 25 points over Pittsburgh. As the first pitch approaches, the atmosphere is thick with anticipation, even as the umpire crew remains unannounced, leaving a shadow of uncertainty over the game’s officiating. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.472 (data points: 9.11/12.379999999999999); odds=-161; pitching=Matthew Boyd vs Bubba Chandler; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=69.5°F, Wind 11.5 mph NNE (in from CF), Humidity 65%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Ryan Wills; First Base: Will Little; Second Base: Derek Thomas; Third Base: Lance Barksdale; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Chicago Cubs: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Chicago Cubs went 2-0. Pittsburgh Pirates: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Pittsburgh Pirates went 3-0.; signal-count even (1-1); Chicago Cubs favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Pittsburgh Pirates favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: 69.5°F, Wind 11.5 mph NNE (in from CF), Humidity 65%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Ryan Wills; First Base: Will Little; Second Base: Derek Thomas; Third Base: Lance Barksdale
Chicago Cubs Injuries: Aaron Civale (Active), Alex Bregman (Active), BJ Murray Jr. (Active), Caleb Thielbar (Active), Carson Kelly (Active), Clay Holmes (Active), Colin Rea (Active), Daniel Palencia (Active)
Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries: Antwone Kelly (Active), Billy Cook (Active), Brandon Eisert (Active), Brandon Lowe (Active), Bryan Reynolds (Active), Bubba Chandler (Active), Camilo Doval (Active), Carmen Mlodzinski (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Chicago Cubs: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.0/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Chicago Cubs went 2-0. Pittsburgh Pirates: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Pittsburgh Pirates went 3-0.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 6
Minnesota Twins over Cleveland Guardians
LOSS
Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 2:10 PM ET
Under the bright lights of Target Field, the Minnesota Twins look to extend their winning ways against the Cleveland Guardians, fresh off a solid performance from Joe Ryan on the mound. Ryan, with his sharp fastball and refined mechanics, faces Tanner Bibee, a promising arm who has shown flashes of brilliance but remains prone to inconsistency. The Twins enter this contest favored at -126, a slight dip from earlier odds of -137, suggesting some market hesitation. Both teams have maintained relatively stable lineups, with the Twins sharing 6.6 of their last nine starters, while the Guardians are at 7.0, reflecting their commitment to continuity. The weather is favorable for hitters, a comfortable 67°F with a light breeze blowing out to right field, which could play a role as the bullpens remain evenly matched. With the umpires set to call the game, the stage is set for a tightly contested battle at the plate. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.420 (data points: 5.07/7.140000000000001); odds=-126; pitching=Joe Ryan vs Tanner Bibee; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=66.4°F, Wind 7.9 mph WNW (out to CF), Humidity 44%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Sean Barber; First Base: John Libka; Second Base: D.J. Reyburn; Third Base: James Hoye; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Minnesota Twins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Minnesota Twins went 1-1. Cleveland Guardians: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average.; signal-count even (1-1); Minnesota Twins favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Cleveland Guardians favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Sean Barber; First Base: John Libka; Second Base: D.J. Reyburn; Third Base: James Hoye
Minnesota Twins Injuries: A.J. Minter (Active), Alex Jackson (Active), Andrew Morris (Active), Austin Martin (Active), Bailey Ober (Active), Brooks Lee (Active), Connor Prielipp (Active), Dean Kremer (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Minnesota Twins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Minnesota Twins went 1-1. Cleveland Guardians: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.0/9 starters on average.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 7
Toronto Blue Jays over Baltimore Orioles
WIN
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 1:37 PM ET
The Toronto Blue Jays, riding a wave of momentum, find themselves favored at -158 as they host the Baltimore Orioles today at Rogers Centre. With Dylan Cease taking the mound for the Jays against Baltimore's Trevor Rogers, the matchup pits two pitchers with contrasting styles, yet both have faced their share of challenges this season. As the line shifted from -149 to -158, the betting public seems to trust Toronto’s stability, reflected in a solid confidence rating of 0.785 from the analytics crowd. While starting lineups are still under wraps, the evenly matched bullpens could play a crucial role later in the game. Fortunately for the players, the retractable roof will keep the elements at bay, allowing for a pristine playing environment. Expect the Blue Jays to leverage their home advantage, as they look to extend their winning streak against a Baltimore team still searching for consistency. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.418 (data points: 5.04/7.109999999999999); odds=-157; pitching=Dylan Cease vs Trevor Rogers; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.; umpire=Home Plate: Scott Barry; First Base: Austin Jones; Second Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Third Base: Edwin Moscoso; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Toronto Blue Jays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Toronto Blue Jays went 1-2. Baltimore Orioles: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.8/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Baltimore Orioles went 1-2.; signal-count even (1-1); Toronto Blue Jays favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Baltimore Orioles favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Scott Barry; First Base: Austin Jones; Second Base: Hunter Wendelstedt; Third Base: Edwin Moscoso
Toronto Blue Jays Injuries: Alejandro Kirk (Active), Andrés Giménez (Active), Brandon Valenzuela (Active), Braydon Fisher (Active), Brendon Little (Active), Brett Bateman (Active), Charles McAdoo (Active), Dylan Cease (Active)
Baltimore Orioles Injuries: Alex Hoppe (Active), Andrew Kittredge (Active), Anthony Nunez (Active), Brandon Young (Active), Cam Sanders (Active), Carlos Narváez (Active), Chris Bassitt (Active), Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Toronto Blue Jays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Toronto Blue Jays went 1-2. Baltimore Orioles: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.8/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Baltimore Orioles went 1-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 8
Seattle Mariners over Athletics
LOSS
Seattle Mariners vs Athletics prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 4:05 PM ET
Odds-134
Confidence0.389 (data points: 5.0/7.2)
PitchingBryce Miller vs Jacob Lopez
VenueSutter Health Park
As the Seattle Mariners gear up to face the Oakland Athletics at Sutter Health Park, Bryce Miller takes the mound with a strong chance to shine against Jacob Lopez, who has struggled to find his footing. The Mariners, with a moneyline that has shifted from -143 to -149, are gaining traction among bettors, reflecting a growing confidence in their lineup despite the absence of confirmed starting names. The Mariners have shown better recent form, and while the bullpen fatigue could be a concern, their relief corps is still viewed as a sturdy unit compared to Oakland’s. Weather conditions remain unknown, but with the winds of change blowing in their favor, the Mariners appear poised to capitalize on this matchup, making them a solid play at the current price. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.389 (data points: 5.0/7.2); odds=-134; pitching=Bryce Miller vs Jacob Lopez; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=74.8°F, Wind 5.1 mph NNW (in from RF), Humidity 43%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Andy Fletcher; First Base: Louie Krupa; Second Base: Alex Tosi; Third Base: Cory Blaser; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Seattle Mariners: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Seattle Mariners went 2-1. Athletics: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Athletics went 1-1.; signal-count even (1-1); Seattle Mariners favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Athletics favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: 74.8°F, Wind 5.1 mph NNW (in from RF), Humidity 43%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback)
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Andy Fletcher; First Base: Louie Krupa; Second Base: Alex Tosi; Third Base: Cory Blaser
Seattle Mariners Injuries: Andrés Muñoz (Active), Brock Rodden (Active), Bryan Woo (Active), Bryce Miller (Active), Cal Raleigh (Active), Carlos Vargas (Active), Cole Young (Active), Cooper Criswell (Active)
Athletics Injuries: Alika Williams (Active), Brady Basso (Active), Brian Serven (Active), Carlos Cortes (Active), Chris Roycroft (Active), Denzel Clarke (Active), Donovan Walton (Active), Drew Rom (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Seattle Mariners: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Seattle Mariners went 2-1. Athletics: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Athletics went 1-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 9
Cincinnati Reds over Milwaukee Brewers
WIN
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 2:10 PM ET
Odds----
Confidence0.218 (data points: 7.34/12.055)
PitchingChase Burns vs Robert Gasser
VenueAmerican Family Field
As the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers square off at American Family Field, the matchup features a compelling duel between Chase Burns and Robert Gasser, both looking to solidify their respective places in the rotation. The Reds, despite a lineup turnover that shares just 5.6 out of 9 starters compared to their last five games, have struggled in similar scenarios, going 0-3 when facing higher turnover. In contrast, the Brewers are riding a modest wave of success with a more stable lineup, sharing 6.6 of their starters and boasting a 3-0 record under similar circumstances. The absence of external weather factors, thanks to the dome, means both teams can focus solely on their game plans without the unpredictability of the elements. With the bullpens appearing evenly matched, the stage is set for a tightly contested game, though the Reds' odds remain unlisted, leaving room for speculation on which way the tide might turn as the day unfolds. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.218 (data points: 7.34/12.055); odds=----; pitching=Chase Burns vs Robert Gasser; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.; umpire=Home Plate: Doug Eddings; First Base: Mike Muchlinski; Second Base: Emil Jimenez; Third Base: Gabe Morales; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Cincinnati Reds: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Cincinnati Reds went 0-3. Milwaukee Brewers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Milwaukee Brewers went 3-0.; signal-count even (1-1); Cincinnati Reds favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Milwaukee Brewers favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Doug Eddings; First Base: Mike Muchlinski; Second Base: Emil Jimenez; Third Base: Gabe Morales
Cincinnati Reds Injuries: Andrew Abbott (Active), Brady Singer (Active), Brandon Williamson (Active), Brock Burke (Active), Carlos Jorge (Active), Chase Burns (Active), Dane Myers (Active), Elly De La Cruz (Active)
Milwaukee Brewers Injuries: Aaron Ashby (Active), Abner Uribe (Active), Andrew Vaughn (Active), Antonio Senzatela (Active), Bo Naylor (Active), Brice Turang (Active), Chad Patrick (Active), Christian Yelich (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Cincinnati Reds: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Cincinnati Reds went 0-3. Milwaukee Brewers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Milwaukee Brewers went 3-0.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 10
Los Angeles Dodgers over Miami Marlins
LOSS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 1:40 PM ET
Odds----
Confidence0.204 (data points: 4.84/8.04)
PitchingEmmet Sheehan vs Eury Pérez
VenueloanDepot park
The Los Angeles Dodgers, riding the momentum of a strong season, take on the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park, where the retractable roof ensures a controlled environment for this clash. Emmet Sheehan will toe the rubber for the Dodgers, looking to capitalize on a favorable matchup against the young Marlins' ace, Eury Pérez. With the moneyline holding steady at -155, the odds reflect the Dodgers’ slight edge, although the model’s confidence rating of 0.457 suggests a game that could be tighter than the numbers indicate. Both teams have yet to announce their starting lineups, leaving some uncertainty in the air, but with the bullpens in relatively even shape, it could come down to which starter can go deeper. While the park typically suppresses run production, the Dodgers' lineup has the potential to break through, making them the team to watch as they aim to secure a vital win. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.204 (data points: 4.84/8.04); odds=----; pitching=Emmet Sheehan vs Eury Pérez; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.; umpire=Home Plate: Brock Ballou; First Base: Jeremie Rehak; Second Base: Adam Beck; Third Base: Dan Iassogna; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Los Angeles Dodgers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Los Angeles Dodgers went 4-0. Miami Marlins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Miami Marlins went 1-1.; signal-count even (1-1); Los Angeles Dodgers favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Miami Marlins favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Brock Ballou; First Base: Jeremie Rehak; Second Base: Adam Beck; Third Base: Dan Iassogna
Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries: Alex Call (Active), Alex Freeland (Active), Alex Vesia (Active), Blake Snell (Active), Blake Treinen (Active), Brock Stewart (Active), Edgardo Henriquez (Active), Eliezer Alfonzo (Active)
Miami Marlins Injuries: Agustín Ramírez (Active), Brian Navarreto (Active), Cade Gibson (Active), Calvin Faucher (Active), Dax Fulton (Active), Deyvison De Los Santos (Active), Esteury Ruiz (Active), Eury Pérez (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Los Angeles Dodgers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Los Angeles Dodgers went 4-0. Miami Marlins: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Miami Marlins went 1-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 11
Colorado Rockies over Detroit Tigers
LOSS
Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 12:10 PM ET
As the Colorado Rockies roll into Comerica Park to face the Detroit Tigers, both clubs find themselves at a crossroads, but the Rockies hold the edge with a steadier two-way structure. Gabriel Hughes takes the hill for Colorado, while the Tigers counter with Jackson Jobe, setting the stage for a compelling pitching duel. The Rockies, however, have struggled lately; with their lineup sharing just 5.2 of 9 starters compared to the Tigers’ 6.2, their recent track record shows a concerning 0-5 in higher-turnover scenarios. Meanwhile, Detroit has fared better, boasting a 3-1 record in similar circumstances. On a warm 77.4°F day with a light breeze pushing out to left field, the atmosphere favors hitters, but both bullpens could feel the strain, especially with their respective fatigue levels. With no line movement to speak of, the odds remain static, leaving bettors to ponder which club will find its footing as the season winds down. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.196 (data points: 3.27/5.470000000000001); odds=----; pitching=Gabriel Hughes vs Jackson Jobe; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=Partly Cloudy, 78°F, 9 mph, Out To CF; umpire=Home Plate: James Jean; First Base: Manny Gonzalez; Second Base: Ron Kulpa; Third Base: Ryan Blakney; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Colorado Rockies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Colorado Rockies went 0-5. Detroit Tigers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Detroit Tigers went 3-1.; signal-count even (1-1); Colorado Rockies favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Detroit Tigers favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: Partly Cloudy, 78°F, 9 mph, Out To CF
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: James Jean; First Base: Manny Gonzalez; Second Base: Ron Kulpa; Third Base: Ryan Blakney
Detroit Tigers Injuries: Andrew Sears (Active), Beau Brieske (Active), Ben Malgeri (Active), Brant Hurter (Active), Brett Callahan (Active), Colt Keith (Active), Dillon Dingler (Active), Drew Anderson (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Colorado Rockies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Colorado Rockies went 0-5. Detroit Tigers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.2/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Detroit Tigers went 3-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 12
Atlanta Braves over Philadelphia Phillies
LOSS
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 1:35 PM ET
Odds----
Confidence0.185 (data points: 3.2/5.4)
PitchingGrant Holmes vs Andrew Painter
VenueTruist Park
As the Atlanta Braves prepare to host the Philadelphia Phillies at Truist Park, the stakes are high with Grant Holmes taking the mound for Atlanta against Philadelphia's Andrew Painter. The Braves, riding a wave of momentum, see their moneyline shift from -126 to -131, reflecting a growing confidence in their chances despite the matchup’s underlying uncertainty, evidenced by a 0.506 model confidence rating. With the sun shining at 81.7°F and a gentle 6.2 mph wind blowing out to center field, conditions seem favorable for hitters. However, the lack of announced lineups leaves some mystery hanging over both dugouts. While Atlanta looks to exploit any bullpen fatigue in the Phillies’ ranks, the absence of detailed metrics on recent performances adds an element of unpredictability. In a game where every pitch counts, the Braves appear poised to capitalize on their home advantage in this critical September showdown. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.185 (data points: 3.2/5.4); odds=----; pitching=Grant Holmes vs Andrew Painter; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=84.7°F, Wind 5.9 mph NW (out to CF), Humidity 58%, P.O.P. 0% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Charlie Ramos; First Base: David Rackley; Second Base: Nestor Ceja; Third Base: Adam Hamari; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Atlanta Braves: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Atlanta Braves went 1-2. Philadelphia Phillies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Philadelphia Phillies went 0-2.; signal-count even (1-1); Atlanta Braves favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Philadelphia Phillies favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Charlie Ramos; First Base: David Rackley; Second Base: Nestor Ceja; Third Base: Adam Hamari
Atlanta Braves Injuries: AJ Smith-Shawver (Active), Austin Riley (Active), Bailey Falter (Active), Brent Suter (Active), Brewer Hicklen (Active), Chris Sale (Active), DaShawn Keirsey Jr. (Active), Didier Fuentes (Active)
Philadelphia Phillies Injuries: Aaron Nola (Active), Alec Bohm (Active), Alex McFarlane (Active), Andrew Painter (Active), Brandon Marsh (Active), Brooks Raley (Active), Bryan De La Cruz (Active), Bryce Harper (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Atlanta Braves: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 7.2/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Atlanta Braves went 1-2. Philadelphia Phillies: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Philadelphia Phillies went 0-2.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 13
Texas Rangers over Arizona Diamondbacks
WIN
Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Odds----
Confidence0.149 (data points: 7.07/12.31)
PitchingCal Quantrill vs Eduardo Rodriguez
VenueChase Field
In a compelling showdown at Chase Field, the Texas Rangers face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks, with Cal Quantrill set to toe the rubber against Eduardo Rodriguez. While both teams have shown signs of lineup fluctuation—Texas averaging just 5.8 of their last nine starters while Arizona boasts a sturdier 6.4—recent performance metrics suggest a slight edge for the Diamondbacks, who have thrived under similar conditions with a 3-0 record in higher-turnover scenarios. The retractable roof means weather won’t play a factor tonight, but the Rangers might feel the strain of bullpen fatigue, potentially tipping the scales in Arizona's favor. As the game unfolds, keep an eye on the umpires, particularly Bill Miller behind the plate, as his strike zone can influence these pitchers’ effectiveness. With no line movement to guide us and starting lineups yet to be announced, the anticipation builds for what promises to be an intriguing contest. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.149 (data points: 7.07/12.31); odds=----; pitching=Cal Quantrill vs Eduardo Rodriguez; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.; umpire=Home Plate: Bill Miller; First Base: Chad Whitson; Second Base: Brian Walsh; Third Base: Chad Fairchild; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Texas Rangers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Texas Rangers went 0-2. Arizona Diamondbacks: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Arizona Diamondbacks went 3-0.; signal-count even (1-1); Texas Rangers favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Arizona Diamondbacks favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Bill Miller; First Base: Chad Whitson; Second Base: Brian Walsh; Third Base: Chad Fairchild
Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries: Brandon Pfaadt (Active), Brandyn Garcia (Active), Corbin Burnes (Active), Corbin Carroll (Active), Dennis Santana (Active), Derek Law (Active), Eduardo Rodriguez (Active), Gabriel Moreno (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Texas Rangers: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 5.8/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Texas Rangers went 0-2. Arizona Diamondbacks: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Arizona Diamondbacks went 3-0.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 14
Houston Astros over Tampa Bay Rays
LOSS
Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 1:40 PM ET
Odds----
Confidence0.148 (data points: 5.27/9.18)
PitchingHayden Wesneski vs Freddy Peralta
VenueTropicana Field
Under the dome at Tropicana Field, the Houston Astros are set to face the Tampa Bay Rays in a clash that has all the makings of a pitching duel, with Hayden Wesneski taking the mound against Freddy Peralta. Both teams enter this game with lineups that reflect stability and change; the Astros have eight of their nine starters from their last five games, but their recent form shows only a 2-3 record in similar situations. Meanwhile, the Rays, with a lineup sharing just 6.6 of the same faces, have performed slightly better at 2-1 in their higher-turnover comps. The bullpens are largely even in fatigue, but the Astros might find the matchup tougher with a less favorable platoon split. As the game unfolds in the retractable-roof environment, the absence of external wind conditions should keep the playing field fair, but the stakes remain high as both teams vie for an edge in this pivotal late-season series. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.148 (data points: 5.27/9.18); odds=----; pitching=Hayden Wesneski vs Freddy Peralta; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.; umpire=Home Plate: Bruce Dreckman; First Base: Carlos Torres; Second Base: Jacob Metz; Third Base: Mark Wegner; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Houston Astros: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 8.0/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Houston Astros went 2-3. Tampa Bay Rays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Tampa Bay Rays went 2-1.; signal-count even (1-1); Houston Astros favored metrics=No model signal list available.; Tampa Bay Rays favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Expanded game context
Weather: Dome/retractable roof environment — external wind conditions not applicable.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Bruce Dreckman; First Base: Carlos Torres; Second Base: Jacob Metz; Third Base: Mark Wegner
Houston Astros Injuries: AJ Blubaugh (Active), Bennett Sousa (Active), Bryan Abreu (Active), Bryan King (Active), Cam Smith (Active), Christian Vázquez (Active), Christian Walker (Active), Cristian Javier (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Houston Astros: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 8.0/9 starters on average. in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Houston Astros went 2-3. Tampa Bay Rays: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.6/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Tampa Bay Rays went 2-1.
Line Movement: Line movement unavailable.
Pick 15
Chicago White Sox over St. Louis Cardinals
LOSS
Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction — 2026-09-13 • First pitch: 2:15 PM ET
As the Chicago White Sox prepare to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium, all eyes will be on the mound where David Sandlin squares off against Michael McGreevy. The evening promises a warm 81.1°F with a gentle 7.6 mph breeze blowing out to right field, potentially favoring the bats. Both clubs are dealing with lineup instability, sharing an average of 6.4 starters from their previous five games, which suggests a lack of cohesion. The White Sox have struggled in similar situations, managing only one win out of three when facing higher turnover in their lineup. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have also faltered with a similar record. With the bullpens showing signs of fatigue, the game could hinge on the starters' ability to go deep. The line movement is currently unavailable, but the matchup's nuances, coupled with the weather conditions, may tip the scales in favor of the White Sox, who have a marginal edge in the bullpen and platoon splits. Evaluated metrics (team-favor): confidence=0.079 (data points: 6.14/11.379999999999999); odds=----; pitching=David Sandlin vs Michael McGreevy; line move=Line movement unavailable.; weather=81.1°F, Wind 7.6 mph NNW (out to RF), Humidity 71%, P.O.P. 1% (Open-Meteo fallback); umpire=Home Plate: Mike Estabrook; First Base: Malachi Moore; Second Base: Edwin Jimenez; Third Base: Alfonso Márquez; lineups=Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.; lineup impact=Chicago White Sox: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Chicago White Sox went 1-2; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Chicago White Sox went 0-2. St. Louis Cardinals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), St. Louis Cardinals went 1-2.; signal-count even (1-1); Chicago White Sox favored metrics=No model signal list available.; St. Louis Cardinals favored metrics=No model signal list available.
Umpire Crew: Home Plate: Mike Estabrook; First Base: Malachi Moore; Second Base: Edwin Jimenez; Third Base: Alfonso Márquez
Chicago White Sox Injuries: Andrew Benintendi (Active), Anthony Kay (Active), Braden Montgomery (Active), Brenton Doyle (Active), Bryan Hudson (Active), Chase Meidroth (Active), Chris Murphy (Active), Colson Montgomery (Active)
St. Louis Cardinals Injuries: Alec Burleson (Active), Andre Pallante (Active), Bryan Torres (Active), Brycen Mautz (Active), Cade Winquest (Active), Cooper Hjerpe (Active), George Soriano (Active), Gordon Graceffo (Active)
Starting Lineups: Starting lineups were not announced for either team at publish time.
Lineup Change Impact: Chicago White Sox: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), Chicago White Sox went 1-2; in stable-lineup comps (≥8 shared), Chicago White Sox went 0-2. St. Louis Cardinals: Compared with last 5 games, today's announced lineup shares 6.4/9 starters on average. In higher-turnover comps (≤6 shared), St. Louis Cardinals went 1-2.